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IRAQ WARS
Advancing Iraqi forces near Mosul city limits
By Sarah Benhaida with Ahmad al-Rubaye in Qayyarah
Bartalla, Iraq (AFP) Oct 31, 2016


Iraq's Tal Afar: Turkmen town in heart of anti-IS war
Baghdad (AFP) Oct 31, 2016 - Tal Afar, on which Iraq's controversial Hashed al-Shaabi paramilitary force launched an offensive at the weekend, used to be the main Turkmen town in the country.

A key hub between Mosul and the Syrian border in the Islamic State group's shrinking "caliphate", Tal Afar is now at the heart of a battle for influence between Iraq's powerful neighbours Turkey and Iran.

Here are some key facts about the northwestern town:

Geography and history

The town lies 380 kilometres (240 miles) northwest of the capital Baghdad and about 60 kilometres (40 miles) west of the second city of Mosul.

Tal Afar's history goes back thousands of years and it was once part of the Assyrian empire. It is dominated by an Ottoman-era citadel, which was damaged in 2014 when IS militants blew up some of its walls.

Population

Before the Islamic State group took it over in the early days of its June 2014 offensive in Iraq, the town had an estimated population of around 200,000.

The town, a Shiite-majority enclave in the mostly Sunni Muslim area, held out several days after Mosul was seized by the jihadists.

The town's population was overwhelmingly Turkmen, one of Iraq's largest ethnic minorities. The jihadist onslaught has deepened the rift among Iraq's Turkmen along sectarian lines, pitting the majority Shiites against the smaller Sunni community.

Tal Afar's Shiites were directly targeted by IS while some members of its Sunni minority joined the jihadists and went on to form a contingent with a particularly brutal reputation in the jihadist organisation's Mosul-based leadership.

Regional focus

While federal counter-terrorism, army and police forces, as well as Kurdish peshmerga fighters, are focusing their efforts on Mosul, the Hashed al-Shaabi are now marching on Tal Afar.

Their declared goal is to retake the town and cut off supply lines between Mosul and Syria.

Tal Afar has become a focal point for the regional struggle for influence that is taking place behind the scenes as the Mosul battle unfolds.

The most powerful militias in the Hashed, which is nominally under the command of the prime minister, are forces that answer directly to Iran.

Iran, the region's main Shiite power, and Turkey, which shares a Turkic heritage with the Turkmen, have been vying for influence in Iraq, and both see Tal Afar as a natural target.

Observers have predicted that a Hashed push on Tal Afar could draw Turkey, which has military bases in northern Iraq but has played a limited role in the two-week-old offensive on Mosul, deeper into the battle.

Iraqi special forces neared the eastern city limits of Mosul on Monday, tightening the noose as the offensive to retake the Islamic State group stronghold entered its third week.

Forces from the elite Counter-Terrorism Service (CTS) faced mortar fire as they pushed from the Christian town of Bartalla towards Mosul's eastern suburbs, AFP correspondents at the front said.

As an aircraft struck a suspected IS mortar position in the distance, a convoy of Humvees sprayed gunfire across the arid plain at an industrial area held by jihadists.

Lieutenant Colonel Muntadhar al-Shimmari said CTS had recaptured Bazwaya, one of two IS-held villages that had been standing between Iraqi forces and the eastern edges of Mosul.

"Tonight, if everything is secured, we will be 700 metres (yards) from Mosul," Shimmari said.

CTS forces had entered the second village, Gogjali, and were battling to retake it, Staff Lieutenant General Abdelwahab al-Saadi, a senior CTS commander, told AFP by telephone.

He denied reports that Iraqi forces had entered the Al-Karama area -- about 2.5 kilometres (1.5 miles) from Gogjali -- inside Mosul itself.

Backed by air and ground support from a US-led coalition, tens of thousands of Iraqi fighters are converging on Mosul on different fronts, in the country's biggest military operation in years.

On the northern and eastern sides of Mosul, the extremist group's last major bastion in Iraq, peshmerga forces from the autonomous Kurdish region recently took several villages and consolidated their positions.

- New western front -

To the south of the city, federal forces, backed by coalition artillery units stationed in the main staging base of Qayyarah, have been pushing north.

They have the most ground to cover and are still some distance from the southern limits of Mosul.

Paramilitary forces from the Hashed al-Shaabi (Popular Mobilisation), an umbrella organisation dominated by Iran-backed Shiite militia, opened another front over the weekend.

They are not directly headed for Mosul, instead setting their sights on the town of Tal Afar to the west, with the aim of retaking it and cutting supply lines between Mosul and the Syrian border.

Their leadership says publicly that they do not intend to enter Mosul, which has an overwhelmingly Sunni population, but commanders on the ground say they want to fight inside the city.

The initial shaping phase of the operation, during which dozens of villages and several towns have already been retaken from IS, is still under way.

Once the initial phase is over, Iraqi forces are expected to besiege Mosul, attempt to open safe corridors for the million-plus civilians still believed to live there, and breach the city to take on die-hard jihadists in street battles.

Humanitarian organisations have been fighting against the clock to build up the capacity to handle an expected exodus from the city.

The United Nations says up to a million people could be displaced in the coming weeks.

More than 17,000 people have already fled their homes since the start of the operation and the Norwegian Refugee Council said there were currently only 55,000 more places available in camps.

- Post-'caliphate' life -

In the dozens of villages and towns scattered over territory retaken from IS over the past two weeks, civilians were very slowly returning to a life free from the "caliphate" IS declared in Mosul in 2014.

Qaraqosh, which was previously Iraq's largest Christian, saw its first mass in more than two years on Sunday.

"After two years and three months in exile, I just celebrated the Eucharist in the cathedral of the Immaculate Conception the Islamic State wanted to destroy," Yohanna Petros Mouche, the Syriac Catholic Archbishop of Mosul, said.

Most retaken areas were far from being habitable however, with months of mine clearing and reconstruction needed before the bulk of the original population can return.

IS has been losing ground steadily in Iraq since 2015 and the outcome of the Mosul battle is in little doubt, but commanders have warned it could last months.

The loss of Mosul, where jihadist supremo Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi declared his Islamic "state" in June 2014, could end the days of IS as a land-holding force in Iraq.

That would leave the Syrian city of Raqa as the group's only major hub. The US-led coalition and its allies on the ground have pledged to attack it soon.

Turkey says Raqa operation should start after Mosul operation ends
Ankara (AFP) Oct 31, 2016 - Deputy Prime Minister Numan Kurtulmus said Monday Turkey wants the drive to oust Islamic State jihadists from the Syrian city of Raqa to begin after operations in Iraq's Mosul and a Turkish-backed mission in northern Syria are over.

"It would be right, militarily and strategically, to conduct this Raqa operation after the Mosul operation and Turkey's Euphrates Shield operation have ended," he told reporters in Ankara.

Last week US Defence Secretary Ashton Carter said operations for the "isolation" of Raqa, the de-facto capital of IS' self-declared caliphate, should begin in conjunction with the assault on Mosul.

An offensive by Iraqi and Kurdish peshmerga forces to free Mosul, Iraq's second biggest city, began in mid-October with air support from the US-led coalition.

Meanwhile Turkey is continuing with an operation called Euphrates Shield, launched on August 24, in which it is supporting opposition fighters in northern Syria with tanks and air strikes.

The Ankara-backed fighters comprise various brigades rather than one organised force, according to experts.

So far, the rebels have captured the IS stronghold of Jarabulus and retaken the symbolically important town of Dabiq.

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said last week that the rebels would target Raqa after advancing towards the city of Al Bab in northern Syria and taking Manbij, recently captured by Syrian Kurdish YPG militia.

Euphrates Shield has two main goals: to clear IS elements from the Turkish-Syrian border and halt the westward advance of the YPG.

Last week Ankara conducted air strikes against People's Protection Units (YPG) positions to stop their advance towards Al Bab, Turkish media said.

Ankara views the YPG as linked to the outlawed Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK), which has been waging an insurgency inside Turkey since 1984.


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