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IRAQ WARS
Iraq's Fallujah operation gives PM political reprieve
By W.G. Dunlop
Baghdad (AFP) May 24, 2016


Key stages in the war against IS
Here are milestones in the fight against the Islamic State group as a Kurdish-Arab alliance announced an assault against the IS north of its Syrian bastion of Raqa.

In neighbouring Iraq, government forces have also launched an offensive to recapture Fallujah, a key IS stronghold west of Baghdad.

The first air strikes

On August 8, 2014, US jets strike IS positions in northern Iraq in response to an appeal from Baghdad, in the first American military operation in the country since troops withdrew in late 2011.

Already entrenched in neighbouring Syria, IS seized swathes of Iraqi territory in a lightning offensive launched in June 2014 and marked by a complete collapse of the security forces.

On September 5, US President Barack Obama vows to build an international coalition to defeat IS.

On September 23, the US and Arab allies launch air strikes on IS in Syria.

IS driven out of Kobane

IS is driven out of the Syrian border town of Kobane on January 26, 2015 after more than four months of fighting led by Kurdish forces backed by coalition air strikes.

An Iraqi military official also says the eastern province of Diyala has been liberated.

Iraq's Tikrit recaptured

On March 31, 2015, Baghdad announces the "liberation" of Tikrit, 160 kilometres (100 miles) north of Baghdad. Government forces and Shiite militias had launched their offensive on March 2 against the IS, which controlled Tikrit for nearly 10 months.

But in May, the IS takes Iraqi provincial capital Ramadi, and Syria's famed ancient city of Palmyra, a UNESCO World Heritage site.

IS ousted from border town

On June 16, 2015, Kurdish militia backed by Syrian rebels and coalition air strikes seize the town of Tal Abyad on the Syrian border with Turkey from IS, which had occupied it for more than a year.

Tal Abyad was one of two main transit points on a key supply route to de facto IS capital Raqa.

Turkey declares war on IS

On July 24, 2015, Turkish warplanes bomb IS positions inside Syria for the first time in a dramatic toughening of Ankara's stance.

Turkish raids are nonetheless mostly aimed at positions of the Kurdistan Workers Party in Iraq and Syria.

Turkey gives Washington the go-ahead to conduct operations over Syria from Ankara's strategic southeastern air base of Incirlik.

Russia intervenes in Syria

On September 30, 2015, Russia launches air strikes in Syria to help its Damascus regime ally, but Washington accuses Moscow of targeting US-backed Syrian rebels rather than IS fighters.

Iraq's Sinjar, Ramadi retaken

On November 13, 2015, Iraqi Kurds announce the "liberation" of Sinjar from IS in an assault that severs a key jihadist supply line with Syria. Across the border, a coalition of Arab and Kurdish fighters drives IS out of the village of Al-Hol, also on the supply route. The US-led coalition provides air support.

Iraqi forces retake Ramadi on December 27.

Syrians retake Palmyra

On March 27, 2016, Syrian forces backed by Russia retake Palmyra.

Two-pronged offensive begins

On May 24, Kurdish and Arab units grouped within the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) launch an assault backed by US-led air support against IS fighters north of Raqa, but makes no mention of the city itself. Russia, which appears to have suffered an IS attack on one of its air bases in Syria, says it is ready to coordinate actions with both the US and SDF.

In Iraq, IS fighters in Fallujah were besieged by government troops and paramilitary units.

IS showed it could still strike back, with a wave of attacks killing more than 160 people a day earlier in Syrian regime coastal strongholds.

US tally of IS retreats

On May 16, a Pentagon spokesman says the IS has lost about 45 percent of its territory in Iraq, and between 16-20 percent of land it seized in Syria.

Iraq's operation to recapture jihadist bastion Fallujah has given Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi a political reprieve, drawing attention away from repeated setbacks to reform efforts that have angered protesters.

With the launch of the operation, Abadi can present himself as the commander-in-chief who is fighting back against the reviled Islamic State group, as opposed to a premier whose office was stormed by demonstrators just a few days ago.

Dressed in a black uniform of a type worn by Iraqi special forces, Abadi visited the command centre for the operation to retake Fallujah, an IS stronghold just 50 kilometres (30 miles) from Baghdad.

Pictures of Abadi with commanders were posted on his Twitter account along with the text: "The prime minister oversees and directs the battles" from the front lines.

But not everyone was convinced by Abadi's performance, and some critics said he had the Iraqi flag on the wrong side of his uniform.

"For Abadi, (Fallujah) provides not just a distraction but, if executed well, a demonstration of some level of effective command and control from Baghdad," said Patrick Skinner, a former CIA case officer who is now with The Soufan Group consultancy.

It is "not the same as good governance, but he needs whatever he can get right now," Skinner said.

Zaid al-Ali, a fellow at Princeton University and the author of "The Struggle for Iraq's Future," said the operation could aid Abadi, but only for a while.

- 'Temporary at best' -

"The Fallujah campaign offers Abadi a reprieve from the political crisis in Baghdad, but it is temporary at best," said Ali.

"Regardless of how successful the assault against (IS) in Fallujah will be, Iraqis will continue to demand dramatic reform," he said.

But for Abadi, even a temporary reprieve is a significant improvement.

Last Friday, demonstrators broke into Baghdad's fortified Green Zone, where the government is headquartered, for the second time in less than a month, storming his office after doing the same at parliament in late April.

The demonstrators were demanding the current government be replaced by technocrats -- a measure proposed by Abadi but opposed by powerful political parties that rely on control of ministries for patronage and funds.

While security forces largely stood by during the first Green Zone breach, they took tougher measures the second time, using tear gas, sound bombs and water cannons against protesters.

Forces also fired a large number of live rounds, most in the air, but at least two protesters died of bullet wounds while dozens more were injured, the majority by tear gas.

Abadi was thus facing protesters enraged by the deaths and injuries they suffered, demanding a new government that would have to be approved by a parliament that has not met in weeks.

- 'Just what Abadi needed' -

Even before the Green Zone breaches, parliament had repeatedly failed to approve new ministers, only signing off on some of Abadi's nominees in a session from which some lawmakers were barred -- a move now facing a legal challenge.

But now, all eyes are on Fallujah, which has been outside Baghdad's control for nearly two and a half years, falling to anti-government fighters in January 2014 and later becoming an IS bastion.

Abadi said the Fallujah operation had been in the works for months but was delayed by political turmoil in Baghdad.

"Political problems and also the events... threatening security inside Baghdad delayed some of the preparations," he said in televised remarks.

But powerful Shiite militias may have helped force the issue by deploying fighters to the Fallujah area.

However it came about, the fight for Fallujah brings an immediate opportunity for Abadi to project a stronger image.

Abadi "spent the first two weeks of (May) getting beaten over the head on Iraqi talk shows by just about every other faction for being weak," said Kirk Sowell, a Jordan-based political risk analyst who is the publisher of Inside Iraqi Politics.

"Appearing in a military-style uniform, surrounded by men in uniform, to order an operation against Fallujah, this is just what Abadi needed," Sowell said.

Rights groups slam Iraq executions
Baghdad May 24, 2016 - Two leading human rights groups on Tuesday condemned Iraq's announcement that it had carried out 22 death sentences over the past month. Amnesty International said the latest executions brought to more than 100 the number of times capital punishment had been used in Iraq this year. "The use of the death penalty is deplorable in all circumstances, and it is particularly horrendous when applied after grossly unfair trials marred by allegations of confessions extracted under torture as is frequently the case in Iraq," the group's Iraq researcher Diana Eltahawy said. "In the last 10 months, there has been a steep climb in the number of people executed in Iraq, and there is even a special unit in the presidency's office to try to expedite the implementation of death sentences," Eltahawy added. Justice Minister Haidar al-Zamili said in a statement released late Monday that the sentences were carried out "against 22 convicts condemned for crimes and terrorist acts". Human Rights Watch also took issue with the fact that the minister explained the executions in the context of the operation launched Monday to retake the city of Fallujah from the Islamic State jihadist group. The justice ministry statement quoted Zamili as saying that, with the start of the Fallujah battle, "we confirm... that the ministry is continuing to carry out just punishment against terrorists". "To choose the timing of a judicial execution for political reasons flies in the face of claims to justice," HRW's Christoph Wilcke told AFP. The UN rights office's spokesman, Rupert Colville, told reporters in Geneva that the Iraqi ministry's announcement was a cause for concern and renewed calls for a moratorium on death sentences and executions.


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Previous Report
IRAQ WARS
Iraq forces begin assault on IS bastion Fallujah
Near Fallujah, Iraq (AFP) May 24, 2016
Iraqi forces battled the Islamic State group Monday in the opening stages of an operation to retake Fallujah, one of the toughest targets yet in Baghdad's war against the jihadists. As Iraqi forces retook a town east of Fallujah as they closed in on the city which saw deadly battles in 2004 between insurgents and American forces, IS claimed bombings in neighbouring Syria that killed at least ... read more


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