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TERROR WARS
Islamic State chief Baghdadi likely still alive: US general
by Staff Writers
Washington (AFP) Aug 31, 2017


Where does IS stand after Iraq, Syria losses?
Baghdad (AFP) Aug 31, 2017 - The Islamic State group has suffered a string of defeats on the battlefield that have left its "caliphate" straddling Iraq and Syria in tatters, three years after it was declared.

With Baghdad's announcement on Thursday that Niniveh province is back under Iraqi government control, IS has been ejected from one of its last bastions in Iraq and is left facing an advancing Arab-Kurdish force across the Syrian border in Raqa.

- What's left of the caliphate?

In its heyday in 2014, almost one third of Iraq's territory was in the hands of IS jihadists.

Today, they are left with no more than 10 percent, according to the US-led coalition supporting Iraqi forces, in two areas: Hawija, 300 kilometres (185 miles) north of Baghdad, and the three locations of Al-Qaim, Rawa and Anna in the western desert bordering Syria.

Across the border, the US-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) penetrated the jihadist group's de facto capital of Raqa in June and have expelled IS from 60 percent of the city which they seized in 2014.

Between5,000 and 10,000 jihadists, including commanders, have fled to the Euphrates Valley region, according to coalition officials.

The region under IS control runs 160 kilometres (100 miles) from the eastern Syrian city of Deir Ezzor, through the province of the same name and across the border, to Iraq's Al-Qaim.

On the Syrian side, IS is also facing the advance of Russia-backed Syrian regime forces towards Deir Ezzor province.

- What power does IS retain in Iraq? -

Despite its military defeats, IS has sleeper cells that have carried out devastating attacks, mostly targeting Shiites, whom the Sunni extremists regard as heretics, in cities recaptured by Iraqi forces and in Baghdad.

IS returning to insurrection mode poses a serious challenge for security forces, and is a constant threat to Iraqi civilians in a predominantly Shiite country where sectarian strife is easily stoked.

- IS power abroad? -

According to many security analysts, the disintegration of the IS caliphate and dispersion of its members have heightened the risk of attacks abroad.

Even without its territorial base in Iraq and Syria, IS has become a "franchise", they say.

Groups pledging allegiance to IS and "lone wolf" assailants have carried out deadly attacks in Europe in the name of the jihadist group.

Elusive Islamic State leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi is probably still alive and likely hiding in the Middle Euphrates River Valley, a senior US general said Thursday.

"We're looking for him every day. I don't think he's dead," Lieutenant General Stephen Townsend, commander of the counter-IS coalition in Iraq and Syria, told reporters in a conference call.

Townsend admitted he didn't "have a clue" where Baghdad is precisely, but believes he may have fled with many other IS soldiers into the Middle Euphrates region stretching from Syria to Iraq, after coalition and local force assaults on the IS bastions of Mosul, Raqa and Tal Afar.

"The last stand of ISIS will be in the Middle Euphrates River Valley," Townsend said.

"When we find him, I think we'll just try to kill him first. It's probably not worth all the trouble to try and capture him."

With a $25 million US bounty on his head, Iraq-born Baghdadi has successfully avoided an intense effort to seek him out for six years or more.

Britain-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, a longtime conflict monitor, said in mid-June that it had heard from senior IS leaders in Syria's Deir Ezzor province that Baghdadi was dead.

Russia's army said in mid-June that it was seeking to verify whether it had killed him in a May air strike in Syria.

"I've seen no convincing evidence, intelligence, or open-source or other rumor or otherwise that he's dead.... There are also some indicators in intelligence channels that he's still alive," said Townsend.

Britain will send more troops to Iraq to bolster IS fight
London (AFP) Aug 31, 2017 - Britain will send a small contingent of expert troops to Iraq to help coalition forces drive out Islamic State jihadists, Defence Minister Michael Fallon said Thursday.

"We are stepping up our contribution to the fight against Daesh (IS) and fulfilling Britain's role as a key player in the global coalition," Fallon said in a statement.

"These extra troops will help support operations to bring the defeat of Daesh a step closer."

The 44 Royal Engineers are to be deployed for six months at the Al-Asad airbase in Anbar Province, in western Iraq, to build infrastructure including accommodation and offices.

This brings the number of British troops at the airbase to more than 300 and the total in Iraq to around 600.

The airbase also houses hundreds of US advisers as well as Iraqi and Danish troops.

Anbar, a sprawling desert province that borders Syria, Jordan and Saudi Arabia, has long been an insurgent stronghold, and IS already controlled parts of it when it swept through Iraq in 2014 to take control of roughly a third of the country.

Pro-government forces have since retaken most towns and cities in Anbar, but the jihadists still hold several areas along the border with Syria.

Earlier Thursday, Iraq declared that its forces had retaken the northern city of Tal Afar and the surrounding region of Nineveh, in another victory against the jihadist group.

IS now controls barely 10 percent of the country, according to the US-led international coalition ranged against the jihadists.

TERROR WARS
Kremlin says 'contradictory' reports on Baghdadi death
Moscow (AFP) July 17, 2017
Moscow on Monday said it was struggling to confirm if the leader of the Islamic State group Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi is dead or alive, a month after reporting his possible demise. The Russian army said in June that it was trying to verify information that its jets killed Baghdadi during a bombing raid near the IS stronghold of Raqa in Syria. But over a month after the announcement Kremlin s ... read more

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