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S. American arms spending up, says SIPRI

Brazil cargo planes linked to jet deal
Sao Paolo, Brazil (UPI) Jun 3, 2010 - Brazil's Valor Economico reported that the government here was considering the would-be supplier of 36 jet fighters to purchase a fleet of cargo jets from Empresa Brasiliera de Aeronautica SA, one of the world's largest aircraft manufacturers. The report surfaced as Brazil was gearing towards the final stages of its decision to pick the winner of a multibillion-dollar tender to supply its air force with state-of-the-art combat aircraft. Citing remarks by Defense Minister Nelson Jobin, the newspaper said the purchase of 12 cargo aircraft by Brazil's leading aircraft manufacturer, also known as Embraer, could be a condition of the final contract.

The Sao Paolo newspaper said the defense minister was poised to make the recommendation as Embraer seemed to be struggling with a slide in commercial jet deliveries marked during its first-quarter reviews and attributed to the global slowdown. The shortfall, however, was "offset numerically by a jump in deliveries of its new Phenom executive jets series -- it delivered 19 business jets last quarter against eight in the year before period," Brailstocks reported. Since the jet fighter tender was called in 2009, Dassault's fighter Rafale has been competing against Boeing's F-28 and Saab's Gripen NG. Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has said the winner would be chosen on political and strategic grounds and not on the mere price tag of the competitors.

The remark has suggested the president is leaning towards the French bid. The country's air force was said to be lobbying for the less expensive Gripen NG, although Jobin did not publicly disclose his preference to Valor. The American option is being regarded as the underdog because of U.S. refusal in the past to allow Brazil to export aircraft using U.S. technology. Rafale's initial bid has been $8.2 billion for the package, well more than the Gripen offer of $4.5 billion plus $1.5 billion for maintenance. Boeing's bid is valued at $5.7 billion plus $1.9 billion in maintenance. France is keen to seal the deal with Brazil, making the Latin American country the first export customer of its Rafale, after losing out in several other tenders around the world.

By some accounts, the contract for the initial 36 planes could rise to more than 120. What makes the French bid attractive, experts say, is France's sweetener of transferring all technology related to the supersonic Rafale so that Brazil, bent on becoming the lead military power in South America, could assemble most of the jets itself and sell them regionally. Brazil has already signed a deal with the French for the construction of five submarines in Brazil. The deal also includes building a nuclear-powered vessel.
by Staff Writers
Stockholm, Sweden (UPI) Jun 3, 2010
Latin American arms spending in 2009 continued rising despite the economic downturn because of the region's cash reserves from commodity exports and other surpluses, the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute said in its annual report.

SIPRI said a number of factors ensured that defense expenditure in the region remained largely unaffected by the global economic crisis.

World military expenditure rose in 2009, reaching an estimated $1531 billion, an increase of 5.9 percent in real terms compared with 2008, and 49 percent higher than in 2000, SIPRI said.

This represents approximately 2.7 percent of global gross domestic product or $224 per person.

Almost all regions and sub-regions shared in the global increase. More than half of the increase came from the United States, but such major spenders as Brazil, China and India also made large increases, reflecting their continued economic growth and aspirations for global and regional influence, SIP RI said.

The global financial crisis and economic recession have not led to a general fall in military spending, despite the resulting falls in government revenues and increases in deficits.

SIPRI said that in Latin America, as in Africa and the Middle East, natural resource revenues played an important role in determining both the levels and the dynamics of military spending in many countries.

The effects of the global economic crisis on military spending in Latin America were varied, SIPRI said. The crisis slowed previously high economic growth rates and reduced exports, which affected state revenues, in particular in countries reliant on commodity exports.

However, SIPRI said, Latin America was less affected by the crisis than had been expected, largely due to a combination of current account surpluses, remittances from outside the region and expansionary fiscal policies.

In Central America and the Caribbean, military spending rose by 9.7 percent in real terms to reach $5.6 billion in 2009. In Mexico, the militarization of the response to drug-related violence led to an increase of military expenditure of 11 percent in real terms compared with 2008, SIPRI said.

In South America, military spending reached $51.8 billion, an increase of 7.6 percent in real terms compared with 2008. Brazil and Colombia, the biggest spenders in the region, increased their military spending by 16 percent and 11 percent in real terms, respectively. However, Chile and Venezuela, two other big spenders that both have a high dependence on commodity exports, cut their military budgets, SIPRI said.

Chile cut its military spending firstly because of a fall in copper prices and then in response to reconstruction needs after the February earthquake.

Venezuela's actual military expenditure has consistently exceeded the initial budget in recent years, SIPRI said. Thus, although the country's budgeted military spending of $4.2 billion in 2009 would represent a decrease of 25 percent over 2008 -- the largest fall in Latin America --the drop may not be realized.

Oil revenues and economic growth have permitted Venezuela to increase military expenditure by 136 percent in real terms between 2003 and 2008, said the institute.



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