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NUKEWARS
US warning to Iran: don't exploit reduced naval presence
by Staff Writers
Washington (AFP) March 5, 2013


World powers 'deeply concerned' by Iran nuke upgrades
Vienna (AFP) March 05, 2013 - Six world powers holding talks with Iran on its nuclear programme said Tuesday at a meeting of the UN atomic agency that they were "deeply concerned" by Tehran's recent atomic upgrades.

"(We) are deeply concerned that Iran continues to undertake certain nuclear activities contrary to multiple UNSC (UN Security Council) Resolutions," Britain's ambassador to the International Atomic Energy Agency said in a joint statement delivered to the Vienna meeting.

These include "recent steps to install more advanced centrifuges, continued installation of additional centrifuges at Fordo and Natanz, production of enriched uranium, and construction of the IR-40 reactor at Arak," Susan le Jeune d'Allegeershecque said, according to the text of her remarks.

The statement to a meeting of the 35-nation IAEA board of governors was on behalf of the United States, China, Russia, Britain, France and Germany, known as the P5+1.

The statement also said that the six countries "seek tangible results" from talks with Iran -- which resumed last week in Kazakhstan and which it said were "useful" -- "at an early stage."

These talks saw the P5+1 sweeten an offer made to Iran last year, scaling back some of their demands and offering more relief from sanctions that last year began to hurt the Iranian economy.

Technical experts from both sides are meant to begin thrashing out the details on March 17-18 in Istanbul before chief negotiators return to Almaty on April 5-6.

The IAEA conducts regular inspections of Iran's declared nuclear sites and its quarterly reports routinely outline advances in its atomic programme in spite of UN Security Council resolutions calling for a suspension.

The latest report, issued February 21, said that Iran had begun installing at its Natanz plant more advanced centrifuges to speed up uranium enrichment, a process at the heart of the international community's concerns.

Enriched uranium can be used for peaceful purposes but also, in highly purified form, in a nuclear weapon. Iran denies this is its aim.

The report also repeated that Iran had told the agency that it expected its Arak reactor to start operating in the first quarter of 2014.

This reactor could provide Iran with plutonium, which could also go in a nuclear weapon. Iran denies seeking or ever having sought the bomb.

Tuesday's P5+1 statement also expressed support for the IAEA's separate efforts to persuade Iran to grant access to sites, documents and personnel involved in what the agency suspects may be nuclear weapons research work, mostly in the past but possibly ongoing.

"We commend the Secretariat for its intensive efforts over many months, including nine meetings with Iran over the last year, to clarify unresolved issues in connection with Iran's nuclear program and encourage the Agency to continue doing so," le Jeune said.

A top commander on Tuesday warned Iran not to test US resolve in the Gulf after Washington scaled back its naval presence in the area, saying no adversary should underestimate American military power in the region.

"I still have one carrier out there, and I would just caution any enemy that might look as an opportunity to take advantage of this situation that that would be very ill-advised if the president orders us into action," said General James Mattis, head of Central Command, in a clear reference to Iran.

"I have what it takes to make it the enemy's longest day and their worst day. And we'll get the other carrier out there quickly to reinforce," Mattis told the Senate Armed Services Committee.

Due to automatic budget cuts that went into force last week, the US military decided to cancel plans to maintain two aircraft carriers in the Gulf to save money.

Mattis, who oversees forces in the Middle East, said a second carrier, the USS Harry Truman, could deploy within 21 days or less if necessary and arrive in the Gulf within 14 days.

"I was on board USS Harry Truman and spoke with Admiral Kevin Sweeney about two weeks ago, and he assures me his air wing and his ships will be ready to deploy on short notice," Mattis added.

The carrier USS John Stennis, along with several destroyers and other ships, is currently patrolling the strategic waters near Iran's coast. It is due to be relieved by another aircraft carrier, the USS Dwight Eisenhower, which is now in the Mediterranean.

At the hearing, Mattis appeared to break ranks with the White House on Iran policy, saying he did not believe Iran would abandon its uranium enrichment work due to the pressure of tough economic sanctions.

But under further questioning from senators, the general appeared to backtrack and said that he supported President Barack Obama's policy on Iran, which has stressed sanctions and covert sabotage while playing down possible military action.

"Just to be clear, I fully support the economic sanctions," Mattis said.

"I believe they are trying to buy time with the negotiations. But that should not be in any way construed as we should not try to negotiate. I still support the direction we're taking. I'm just -- I'm paid to take a rather dim view of the Iranians, frankly."

The four-star general has clashed with the White House over Iran policy, with Mattis taking a more hawkish view, according to US officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity.

Mattis is due to retire within weeks amid speculation he was forced out of his post earlier than planned because of his disagreements with his civilian counterparts on Iran.

Outside View: Iran's 'Stairway to Heaven'
Herndon, Va. (UPI) Mar 5, 2013 - P5+1 negotiators -- representing the U.N. Security Council plus Germany -- seem to be giddy over claims by their Iranian counterparts the parties may have reached a "turning point" in the decade-long effort to resolve Tehran's nuclear issue.

The claim followed two days of discussions last month in Almaty, Kazakhstan. But a recently renewed practice in Tehran is much more telling about Iran's true nuclear program intentions. It should serve as a wake-up call for anyone wishing to believe Iran wants peace.

The practice -- described at this article's end -- and Iranian claims a "turning point" may have been reached must be put into context.

First, Iran's leadership is driven by its belief Allah has given it a religious mandate. It is the sole purpose for Iran's existence. It is based on an eschatology to which Tehran gives top priority. Its mission -- publicly acknowledged -- is to pave the way for the return of Mahdi -- the "Twelfth Imam."

Supposedly, the Twelfth Imam was a 5-year-old child who disappeared in A.D. 874, later rising into a state of occultation where he remains to this day. He will only return to Earth to lead Islam to world domination.

While his reappearance occurs under the guise of bringing "peace and justice" to the world, the reality is his efforts are only on behalf of Islam's believers -- i.e., non-believers must either convert or die. This is what Iran really means by claiming its nuclear program is for "peaceful" purposes.

Second, Iran's leadership says Mahdi's return can only be triggered by global chaos. Therefore, it seeks to be the catalyst in bringing about such chaos. And, what better way to do so then to detonate a nuclear device?

Third, the late Iranian Supreme Leader Ruhollah Khomeini, interviewed before returning to Iran in 1979 to take over its revolution, spoke about leading the country to freedom. Tens of thousands of Iranians subsequently died under his brutal, Sharia law-imposed rule. Khomeini knew he had no intention of bringing freedom and democracy to Iran but justified lying based upon "taqqiya" -- a religious concept allowing one to lie in furtherance of Islam's goals.

Iran's nuclear negotiators now rely upon taqqiya to claim a "turning point" may have been reached last month. It hasn't as they believe Allah's will is for Iran obtain a nuclear weapon to fulfill its religious mandate.

As Iran's nuclear program has progressed, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad made clear it would never be reversed. In late 2005, he warned, "Any retreat (in the nuclear field) will open the way for a series of endless pressure and never-ending back downs."

His nuclear negotiator, Ali Larijani, added, "This is a war. If we take a step back today, tomorrow they will bring up the issue of human rights and the day after they will bring up the issue of Hezbollah and then democracy and other matters."

In late 2006, Ahmadinejad bragged, "whether a world without the United States and Zionism can be achieved ... I say that this ... goal is achievable ...," warning the West, "open your eyes and see the fate of pharaoh ... if you do not abandon the path of falsehood ... your doomed destiny will be annihilation."

Again feeling his oats, he later said,: "If you would like to have good relations with the Iranian nation in the future ... bow down before (its) greatness ... and surrender. If you don't accept (this), the Iranian nation will ... force you to surrender and bow down."

But it is the following declaration by Khomeini that brings the aforementioned renewed practice into clearer focus. The late supreme leader said, "The natural world is the lowest element, the scum of creation ... the divine world -- that is eternal."

To Khomeini and those of his ilk, death is transitioning from Islamic hell to Islamic heaven.

The renewed practice is Iran's issuance of passports to prepare for that transition -- not ordinary passports, but "passports to paradise" -- originally issued by Khomeini to young martyrs sacrificing themselves in the minefields during the 1980-88 Iran-Iraq war!

Iran's leadership is short on logic but only one possible reason exists for renewing this practice. It has warned its people war is coming. It has explained, millions will die when war occurs. It reports Israel and the United States will be attacked, triggering mass retaliation. But the passports are necessary to allow Iranians to transcend a "stairway to heaven."

Concerning nuclear retaliation, author Adam Garfinkle wrote: "Any rational person will avoid personal and national suicide ... When President Ahmadinejad of Iran speaks in apocalyptical, millenarian terms, many Western secular sophisticates force themselves to believe he can't be serious. Most likely, he is ...."

Islamist leaders justify Muslims incidentally getting killed in mass attacks "because 'Allah will know his own' so that the innocent will become instant martyrs in paradise." Garfinkle says such radicals "give every appearance of actually meaning what they say."

Eleventh-grade Iranian textbooks teach that in the upcoming war against infidels, Muslims cannot lose: "Either we all become free or we will go to the greater freedom which is martyrdom. Either we shall shake one another's hand at the victory of Islam in the world, or all of us will turn to eternal life and martyrdom. In both cases, success and victory are ours."

Iran's Muslims see coming that which they cannot stop while non-Muslims fail to stop that which they refuse to see.

After Ahmadinejad initiates his world chaos, surviving Iranians will understand, all too late, the fallacy a stairway to heaven ever existed. Meanwhile, surviving Westerners will understand the fallacy peace with madmen can never really be negotiated.

(James G. Zumwalt, a retired U.S. Marine Corps lieutenant colonel and infantry officer, served in the Vietnam war, the U.S. invasion of Panama and the first Persian Gulf war. He is the author of "Bare Feet, Iron Will--Stories from the Other Side of Vietnam's Battlefields," "Living the Juche Lie: North Korea's Kim Dynasty" and "Doomsday: Iran--The Clock is Ticking." He frequently writes on foreign policy and defense issues.)

(United Press International's "Outside View" commentaries are written by outside contributors who specialize in a variety of important issues. The views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of United Press International. In the interests of creating an open forum, original submissions are invited.)

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