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NUKEWARS
Unlike Netanyahu, Israeli generals go along with Iran deal
by Staff Writers
Tel Aviv, Israel (UPI) Nov 26, 2013


Israel minister meets British official on Iran deal
Jerusalem (AFP) Nov 27, 2013 - Israeli Intelligence Minister Yuval Steinitz met Wednesday with Britain's negotiator at the Iranian nuclear talks as part of efforts to influence the shape of a final deal, his office said.

Israel has decried as a "historic mistake" the breakthrough deal reached by world powers and Iran in Geneva on Sunday -- under which Tehran agreed to curb parts of its nuclear programme in return for an easing of sanctions.

During the meeting in Jerusalem, Britain's chief negotiator Simon Gass and the Israeli officials led by Steinitz "hashed out the existent differences and discussed in great detail" the agreement and the meaning of its clauses, a statement read.

"An initial discussion on the character of the final agreement also commenced during the meeting," it said.

"Despite the differences of opinion, the talks took place in an open and friendly atmosphere."

A spokeswoman for Steinitz said he had also met on Tuesday with France's chief negotiator Jacques Audibert in Jerusalem to discuss the interim deal and the final agreement.

She said the British and French officials arrived in Israel after Steinitz had requested an update on the talks from London and Paris.

Britain and France, along with the United States, Russia, China and Germany, make up the P5+1 group of world powers which negotiated the deal, which they have said is a key step towards reducing the threat of military escalation in the Middle East.

Under the agreement, which is in place for six months while a more long-lasting solution is negotiated, Tehran is committed to limiting uranium enrichment to low levels used only for civilian energy purposes.

In return, it will obtain some $7 billion in sanctions relief in the form of access to frozen funds and to its petrochemical, gold and precious metals and auto sectors.

Tehran has a long history of belligerent statements towards the Jewish state, and Israel -- the Middle East's sole if undeclared nuclear power -- has repeatedly warned that a nuclear Iran would pose an existential threat.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Monday he would send his national security adviser to Washington for talks on Iran after warning the deal would give Tehran a free hand to achieve a breakout nuclear capability.

Despite Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu's denunciations of the move toward a U.S.-Iranian rapprochement and efforts by the powerful pro-Israel lobby in Washington to undo the interim agreement reached in Switzerland Sunday, influential former military and intelligence chiefs think the deal is moving in the right direction.

Netanyahu snubbed the landmark deal between the U.S.-led Western powers and Iran, which is valid for six months before talks on a more permanent agreement begin even though it limits Iran's nuclear enrichment program, which the West fears is aimed at producing nuclear weapons.

Tehran denies having nuclear weapon ambitions. But Netanyahu, who sees Iran's nuclear and ballistic missile programs as an existential threat to Israel, branded Sunday's agreement, hailed as a major diplomatic triumph for U.S. President Barack Obama's administration, a "historic mistake" that leaves Iran's military nuclear capabilities largely intact.

But it's becoming clear that other influential Israelis, particularly senior figures in the military and intelligence establishment, view the agreement in a much more favorable light because it slows down Iran's nuclear project even if it doesn't totally dismantle it.

"This agreement is something I can live with -- for the next six months," said retired Maj. Gen. Amos Yadlin, former head of Military Intelligence and considered by some to be a hawk.

"For the first time since 2003, the Iranian nuclear program is halted, even slightly rolled back."

Yadlin, who now heads the Institute for National Security Studies at Tel Aviv University, told reporters if this were the final agreement, "it would really be a bad agreement, but that's not the situation."

He rejected Netanyahu's argument the agreement "made the world more dangerous," and said it's "possible that had there been no agreement, Iran would have decided to make the breakthrough to a bomb because the sanctions are hurting it so badly."

It's widely believed U.S.-led economic sanctions imposed on Iran in mid-2010, and stiffened since then, were a principal factor in getting Iran to the negotiating table, a process accelerated by the election of reformist President Hassan Rouhani in June and the apparent acquiescence of supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

Former Iranian President Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, one of the Islamic republic's most influential leaders who has displayed moderate tendencies in the past, acknowledged that in an interview with the Financial Times Monday and predicted a comprehensive final agreement could come within a year.

Rafsanjani, seen as the leader of Iran's so-called conservative pragmatists, said Sunday's breakthrough agreement was the most difficult step because it had to overcome decades of hostility that began with the fall of the pro-Western Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi in 1979 in Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini's Islamic Revolution.

"It was breaking the ice, the second stage will be more routine," he said, noting Iran will not abandon its nuclear program but will bring it in line with the 1968 Non-Proliferation Treaty.

In 2011, Yadlin and other senior figures in Israel's military-intelligence community successfully opposed plans by Netanyahu and his then-defense minister and ex-chief of the general staff, Ehud Barak, from launching pre-emptive strikes against Iran's nuclear infrastructure because they feared it would spark a regional conflagration.

The other figures included Meir Dagan, former head of Mossad, Israel's external intelligence service which has been sabotaging Iran's nuclear program for years, and former Defense Minister and Chief of Staff Shaul Mofaz, leader of the centrist Kadima Party.

Mofaz said Israel should not let its guard down, but stressed the country's military does not have the firepower to knock out Iran's nuclear program on its own.

"The Israeli strategy has failed and a different strategy could have been chosen," he observed.

"Netanyahu's fighting a losing battle and it would have been better to work quietly to bring the Americans on board with our strategy."

Israeli polls indicate three-quarters of Jewish Israelis share Netanyahu's skepticism. The far right favors an even tougher line on Iran.

Some credit Netanyahu's tough stand with influencing the Americans to push Iran harder in Geneva, Switzerland, which produced the interim deal.

But even if Netanyahu faces opposition from influential military figures at home, he still has hefty support in the U.S. Congress, where there appears to be a move to reject the agreement secured by Obama's administration.

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