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WAR REPORT
Arms smuggling into Syria flourishes: experts
by Staff Writers
Beirut (AFP) Oct 16, 2011

US cites progress for Israeli-Palestinian talks
Washington (AFP) Oct 14, 2011 - The United States said Friday that progress is being made toward reviving Israeli-Palestinian peace talks before the end of the month.

Envoys from the diplomatic Quartet -- the United States, Russia, the United Nations and the European Union -- are trying to arrange a preliminary meeting by the end of October based on a timeline unveiled in New York on September 23.

"We believe that we are making progress in trying to meet the Quartet's timetable," State Department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland told reporters.

Nuland said Thursday's meeting in Paris between US envoy David Hale and Palestinian Authority president Mahmud Abbas was "productive."

The Quartet initially aimed to arrange for the talks to take place in Jordan on October 23, in line with the one-month deadline set on the sidelines of the UN Security Council, according to Nuland.

However, she said there was a few days' leeway and that the talks may not take place in Jordan.

Asked about a report that Israel was planning to build a new neighborhood in annexed East Jerusalem, Nuland said "such actions would be counter-productive to our efforts to resume direct talks between the parties."

The US State Department also condemned Israeli settlers for burning around 100 Palestinian olive trees near the West Bank town of Bethlehem on Tuesday.

"We note the government of Israel is working to address the situation. Those perpetrating these provocative acts should be arrested and prosecuted to the full extent of the law," it said in a statement.


As the revolt in Syria drags on, experts say weapons smuggling into the country has flourished, especially from Lebanon, with automatic weapons, grenades and hunting rifles in high demand.

They say that those behind the trafficking are smugglers in search of quick profits rather than political parties backing protesters against the Alawite-dominated regime in Syria.

"Smuggling networks that for years have operated along Syria's borders seem to have turned to weapons trafficking in recent months," said Peter Harling, a Damascus-based expert with the International Crisis Group.

"It appears that a market has quickly developed in a country which, contrary to Lebanon, Iraq, Yemen or Libya, had few weapons circulating beforehand," he told AFP.

He said the smugglers were motivated by money, at least for the time being.

"I don't think that at this point we can say, as the Syrian regime claims, that foreign powers are playing a significant role in this," Harling said.

"People on both sides in Syria are buying weapons to defend themselves," he added.

"Residents in Alawite villages are arming themselves for fear of reprisals and the (mainly Sunni Muslim) opposition is increasingly doing the same given the regime's harsh crackdown against any form of protest.

"So the temptation for people to defend themselves is growing."

A Western diplomat in Beirut who did not wish to be identified confirmed that weapons smuggling from Lebanon into Syria was on the rise but also stressed he believed this was the work of individuals rather than parties.

"Those sending weapons may sympathise with a certain party but you can't say that a political faction as such is behind the smuggling," the diplomat said.

He noted the situation was ironic given that for years weapons had been smuggled from Syria into neighbouring Iraq and Lebanon. "The tables are turned now, and it's a case of the biter getting bitten," he said.

Since the outbreak of the Syrian uprising in mid-March, Damascus has accused loyalists of former Lebanese premier Saad Hariri, a Sunni, of sending cash and weapons to the opposition in Syria.

Hariri has denied the allegations.

Lebanese authorities have arrested a number of Lebanese and Syrian nationals on charges of weapons smuggling. A judicial official said the arms seized in those cases were either hunting rifles or light weapons.

The smuggling has led to a hike in prices on the black market, notably for hunting rifles, automatic weapons and grenades.

"The Syrians are raking in all the weapons and driving up prices," said one licenced weapons dealer who did not wish to be identified.

He added that much of the weapons on the black market in Lebanon date back to the country's 1975-1990 civil war or were smuggled in from Iraq following the 2003 US-led invasion.

An underground weapons dealer in north Lebanon, also on condition of anonymity, said the price of a used Kalashnikov assault rifle has risen from $800 (575 euros) to $1500 (1079 euros) since the Syria uprising began.

The price of a grenade has also doubled, from about $5 to more than $10, he added, while rocket-propelled grenades are now fetching $200 a piece as opposed to $70 previously.

"There is high demand for Kalashnikovs and ammunition as well as pump-action shotguns which usually come from Turkey and are sold for $500, compared to $200 normally," he said.

He said the weapons are smuggled by foot or by car through remote areas along the 330-kilometre (205-mile) border between Lebanon and Syria.

"There are more than 50 illegal crossings between the two countries and there is no way to station enough troops to control them all," said retired Lebanese army General Elias Hanna.

The Western diplomat said that the militant group Hezbollah, a staunch supporter of Assad and a key player in the Beirut government, had boosted its presence along the border in the eastern Bekaa region to stem the smuggling.

The Syrian army has also stepped up security along the border.

Hanna said that while the arms being smuggled into Syria at this point were light weapons and unlikely to upset the current balance of power, the situation could change if neighbouring countries decided to arm the opposition.

"When countries like Turkey change their stand and allow the transfer of heavy weapons through the border, then the balance of power will change," he said. "But I don't think this is going to happen anytime soon."

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Book offers clues to Libyan politics
London (UPI) Oct 14, 2011 - NATO decision-makers hoping to forge a democratic and stable Libya after the fall of Moammar Gadhafi need to read "Political Alienation in Libya," a new book analyzing the North African country shortly before the disastrous showdown that triggered the U.N.-mandated European intervention.

Political alienation was so widespread in Libya under Gadhafi that the outcome since the NATO bombing campaign began, the gradual crumbling of the strongman's regime and the emergence of the National Transitional Council are hardly surprising, the book says.

Author Mabroka al-Werfalli, who teaches political science at the University of Garyounis in Benghazi, used different polling methods against heavy odds to gather opinions in Libya under Gadhafi.

She found public participation in Gadhafi's Basic Popular Congresses, the regional and town-based political cells used by the regime to advance its aims, declined sharply as public alienation grew.

Even those who took part in the congresses' activities did so out of fear of losing favor with Gadhafi's political elite.

"From the findings it is clear that political alienation, defined as the conscious rejection of the whole political system, is the prevailing condition in Libyan society," al-Werfalli writes.

In the run-up to Gadhafi's downfall, she found through surveys that feelings of alienation were widespread among Libyans because of authoritarian control, marginalization of citizens and institutions of political participation, and a destructive censoring of opinions and attitudes.

In her book, al-Werfalli offers insight into the political mindset of the Libyan people in the lead up to the protests and the resulting civil war.

The resulting apathy was not evidence of loyalty but of estrangement. The methods adopted by citizens to express their resentment under coercion included not only retreat from the political processes but also silent resistance.

The book concludes with the final stages of Gadhafi's rule and outlines not only the government's slide from legitimacy but also its last-ditch attempts for survival and reform under Gadhafi's son Saif al-Islam.

"Saif al-Islam outlined plans for Libya to move from autocratic rule to a constitutional democracy as part of the country's modernization process," writes al-Werfalli. "He emerges as the only actor who has managed to criticize the malfunctions of the regime without being punished" by his father.

In the aftermath of Gadhafi's crackdown on popular uprisings, Saif al-Islam is wanted by the International Criminal Court for crimes against humanity against the Libyan people, including torture and killing of civilians.

Unconfirmed rebel reports claim Gadhafi is being protected by a loyalist tribe and Saif al-Islam is holding out in Sirte, one of the last strongholds of his regime.

The NTC leadership that succeeded Gadhafi is facing criticism that it has used tactics familiar to victims of Gadhafi and calls to reform its ranks to suit democratic ideals expected of its leadership.



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