. Military Space News .
NUKEWARS
Can the second Trump-Kim summit end the Korean War?
By Sunghee Hwang
Seoul (AFP) Feb 8, 2019

US, N. Korea to continue summit talks next week: Seoul
Seoul (AFP) Feb 10, 2019 - The United States and North Korea will hold further talks next week to prepare for a second summit between President Donald Trump and Kim Jong Un later this month, Seoul said Sunday.

The news comes a day after Stephen Biegun, the US Special Representative for North Korea, said more dialogue was needed ahead of the summit scheduled in Vietnam.

"North Korea and the US have agreed to continue negotiations in a third country in Asia during the week of February 17," Seoul's presidential spokesman Kim Eui-kyeom told reporters.

He did not provide further details.

Biegun travelled to Pyongyang earlier this month for three days of preparatory meetings with North Korean officials, with the State Department saying the talks focused on Trump and Kim's "commitments of complete denuclearisation, transforming US-DPRK relations and building a lasting peace on the Korean Peninsula".

Trump and Kim are due to meet in Hanoi from February 27 to 28 following their landmark first summit in Singapore last June.

That meeting -- the first-ever between the leaders of the US and North Korea -- produced a vaguely-worded document in which Kim pledged to work towards "the denuclearisation of the Korean peninsula".

But progress has since stalled with the two sides disagreeing over what that means and analysts say tangible progress on denuclearisation will be needed for the second summit if it is to avoid being dismissed as "reality TV".

Trump's own intelligence chief, Dan Coats, have expressed scepticism over the North's denuclearisation, and told the Senate Intelligence Committee that Pyongyang was "unlikely to completely give up its nuclear weapons".

The second summit between US President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un has raised hopes for the longest ceasefire in history to be replaced by a peace treaty.

Seoul and Pyongyang remain technically at war after the 1950-53 Korean War ended with an armistice.

Stephen Biegun, the US special envoy for North Korea, said last week that Trump was "ready to end this war", fuelling speculation that the formal end of the conflict may be near, with Trump and Kim meeting in Vietnam this month.

But analysts say a full peace treaty poses many complications, and will need extensive negotiations.

What is the current situation?

The 1950-53 Korean War ended with an armistice rather than a peace treaty, leaving the two neighbours technically still in a state of conflict.

The signatories to the armistice included the US-led United Nations Command, which fought alongside the South's troops, as well as China and North Korea.

Declaring an end to the war was one of the agreements at the first summit between Kim and South Korean President Moon Jae-in last year, but little progress has been made, with the US and the North at loggerheads over Pyongyang's nuclear arsenal.

In his New Year's speech, Kim called for "multi-party negotiations for replacing the current ceasefire... with a peace mechanism in close contact with the signatories to the armistice agreement".

Who wants a peace treaty, and why?

For Pyongyang, a peace treaty is vital to regime survival as it will mean "North Korea and the US are no longer enemies", said Koo Kab-woo, a professor at the University of North Korean Studies in Seoul.

South Korea's dovish Moon -- with a slogan of creating a peninsula "free of war" -- is also a supporter.

But Washington has been wary as the treaty could bring into question the justification for its military alliance with Seoul and the 28,500 US troops stationed in South Korea.

"The US fears abrupt changes to the regional order will impact its own interests, which won't be good as China flexes its muscles," Koh Yu-hwan, a professor of North Korean studies at Dongguk University.

A peace treaty would be welcome news for Beijing as it seeks a "reduction of the US role" on the peninsula, Koh added.

Can it happen at the Vietnam summit?

The possibility is very low, given the complexity of the issue.

Koo of the University of North Korean Studies says the deal would require "so many world-changing issues", from amending the constitutions of the two Koreas and re-addressing the role of the US troops.

Kim Dong-yub, an analyst at the Seoul-based Institute for Far Eastern Studies, added that negotiations for such a treaty may need more than three years.

The more likely scenario is for the concerned parties -- North and South Korea, the US, and China -- to declare a formal end to the war as a political statement.

"This will pave the way for a peace treaty," said Go Myong-hyun, an analyst at the Seoul-based Asan Institute of Policy Studies.

The South China Morning Post reported that Chinese President Xi Jinping will be in Danang -- a potential venue of the Trump-Kim summit -- for meetings with the American president.

What would be the impact?

Analysts offer differing outlooks but all agree on one aspect: an end to the war will undoubtedly trigger debate about the US troops in South Korea.

Chinese forces that fought alongside the North Koreans in the Korean War pulled out of the peninsula in 1956, and with an official end to the conflict, Washington may struggle to justify its military presence in the South.

But a peace treaty would also place increased pressure on North Korea to abandon its nuclear weapons programme -- which the regime has repeatedly claimed was developed to defend against the United States.

"An end-of-war declaration is verbally ending hostile relations," Koh said. "And a peace treaty will finalise it in a legally binding manner."


Related Links
Learn about nuclear weapons doctrine and defense at SpaceWar.com
Learn about missile defense at SpaceWar.com
All about missiles at SpaceWar.com
Learn about the Superpowers of the 21st Century at SpaceWar.com


Thanks for being here;
We need your help. The SpaceDaily news network continues to grow but revenues have never been harder to maintain.

With the rise of Ad Blockers, and Facebook - our traditional revenue sources via quality network advertising continues to decline. And unlike so many other news sites, we don't have a paywall - with those annoying usernames and passwords.

Our news coverage takes time and effort to publish 365 days a year.

If you find our news sites informative and useful then please consider becoming a regular supporter or for now make a one off contribution.
SpaceDaily Contributor
$5 Billed Once


credit card or paypal
SpaceDaily Monthly Supporter
$5 Billed Monthly


paypal only


NUKEWARS
Two-day Trump-Kim summit calls for real progress: analysts
Seoul (AFP) Feb 6, 2019
Their first meeting was a blockbuster piece of diplomatic theatre criticised as light on substance. But with a second date stretching over two days, Donald Trump and Kim Jong Un must make real progress on denuclearisation, analysts say. The historic handshakes and warm smiles of the Singapore summit in June last year heralded a sea change for two men who months earlier had been threatening each other with nuclear destruction. The bonhomie continued in the following weeks, with Trump musing that ... read more

Comment using your Disqus, Facebook, Google or Twitter login.



Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle

NUKEWARS
U.S. Army to purchase Israel's Iron Dome anti-missile system

US Army to buy two Israeli Iron Dome air defense systems

Raytheon, Lockheed contracted for Patriot systems for foreign customers

Japan approved for $2.15B buy of Aegis Ashore missile defense systems

NUKEWARS
Rafael test-launches precision-guided missile from light vehicle in Israel

General Atomics awarded $30.9M more for MQ-9 missile defense testing

BAE awarded $225M for APKWS kits rocket upgrades

Iran in 'successful test' of new cruise missile on revolution anniversary

NUKEWARS
German Forces Begin Training Courses on Armed Israeli Surveillance Drones

Airborne Response supports fire and rescue exercise with drones and aerostats

ZX Lidars achieves world-first wind Lidar measurements from a drone

Ecuador eradicates Galapagos rats using drones

NUKEWARS
Lockheed Martin to develop cyber electronic warfare pod for UAVs

Britain to spend $1.3M for satellite antennas in light of Brexit

Reflectarray Antenna offers high performance in small package: DARPA

BAE signs $79.8M contract with Navy for Pacific comms support

NUKEWARS
Denmark, France, Netherlands receive first land munitions through NATO pact

Honeywell awarded $85.7M for C-5 software, hardware support

BAE Systems wins $21M contract to supply artillery to British army

Marine Corps distributing 1,300 new night vision devices at base

NUKEWARS
Federal budget to be released mid-March, Pentagon expects nearly $750B

Senators urge Pentagon to continue its internal audit

Report: Pentagon allowed $28B in available funds to expire

Croatia threatens to axe plans to buy F-16 jets from Israel

NUKEWARS
Ukraine amends constitution to cement EU, NATO course

Macedonia takes major step on road to NATO membership

Billionaire's ban seen as pushback against Chinese foreign influence ops

Top general not consulted before Trump's Syria pull-out decision

NUKEWARS
Research details sticky situations at the nanoscale

Aerosol-assisted biosynthesis strategy enables functional bulk nanocomposites

Platinum forms nano-bubbles

New applications for encapsulated nanoparticles with promising properties









The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2024 - Space Media Network. All websites are published in Australia and are solely subject to Australian law and governed by Fair Use principals for news reporting and research purposes. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA news reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. All articles labeled "by Staff Writers" include reports supplied to Space Media Network by industry news wires, PR agencies, corporate press officers and the like. Such articles are individually curated and edited by Space Media Network staff on the basis of the report's information value to our industry and professional readership. Advertising does not imply endorsement, agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) Statement Our advertisers use various cookies and the like to deliver the best ad banner available at one time. All network advertising suppliers have GDPR policies (Legitimate Interest) that conform with EU regulations for data collection. By using our websites you consent to cookie based advertising. If you do not agree with this then you must stop using the websites from May 25, 2018. Privacy Statement. Additional information can be found here at About Us.