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THE STANS
Counter-insurgency zeal grips eastern Afghanistan

The surge will need to go berserk to have a big impact

US commander defends quitting Afghan valley
Paris (AFP) April 16, 2010 - The top US commander in Afghanistan defended Friday his decision to pull forces out of the notorious Korengal Valley, despite Taliban commanders claiming victory there. General Stanley McChrystal, in Paris to discuss strategy with NATO officers, told reporters that US troops had been unwelcome among Korengal's fiercely independent tribesmen and would be more useful elsewhere. "With limited forces you always have to put your forces where you'll get the best outcome," he said, explaining that the withdrawal was part of his plan to better protect civilians in more populated areas. The decision has worried McChrystal's Afghan allies, some of whom fear that Taliban rebels might turn the valley into a rear-base on the porous Pakistani border from which to launch attacks on coalition forces. US troops have been fighting for five years in the valley, and lost more than 40 comrades defending what has been dubbed the "Valley of Death". Following this week's US withdrawal, Taliban spokesman Zabihullah Mujahed claimed: "This has been a great victory for us." But McChrystal said the tribesmen in the area were not fighting as Taliban rebels but simply to defend their own independent way of life. "I was in the Korengal Valley last week ... and I walked a patrol with Afghan National Army commandos because I wanted to see for myself how it was as we begin to withdraw out," he told reporters. "The Korengal valley is a unique location. It's very, very remote. The people speak a separate language, Korengali. The people are very insular to themselves," he said. "It's our assessment that our presence inside the valley doesn't really make them more secure. In fact it probably is a foreign entity in their valley when they would rather be left alone. "I also don't believe that they are likely to come out of their valley to cause problems for the government of Afghanistan. So it's one of those decisions that I think will be proven correct."

More than 100 die in week of Afghan violence: government
Kabul (AFP) April 18, 2010 - More than 100 people including dozens of civilians were killed in violence related to Afghanistan's ongoing war against the Taliban in the past week, authorities said Sunday. The interior ministry registered about 144 insurgency-related incidents -- mostly roadside bombs and militant ambushes -- from April 11-18, spokesman Zemarai Bashary said. A total of 117 people -- 36 of them civilians, 20 policemen and more than 60 insurgents -- were killed in the incidents, he told reporters.

Another 100 civilians, 39 police officers and more than a dozen rebels, were injured in the attacks, he said. Most of the rebels were killed in an operation by Afghan and international forces against Taliban-linked militants in the restive northern province of Baghlan, he said. In the same period, nine Western soldiers, part of the international military deployment under NATO and the United States, were killed, according to an AFP count based on the icasualties.org website which tracks coalition deaths.

NATO and the United States currently deploy 126,000 troops to fight the insurgents, with the number set to peak at 150,000 by August. President Barack Obama has said he wants to start drawing down US troops from the middle of next year, so much of the new deployment is aimed at training the Afghan army and police force to take on responsibility for security.

Casualties among the police have long been high in comparison to the army, as they are often deployed as paramilitary forces in restive regions. The interior ministry's Bashary attributed the high police death toll to a lack of resources, including weapons. "In some areas the Taliban weapons are better than those of the police," he said.
by Staff Writers
Yousef Khel, Afghanistan (AFP) April 18, 2010
The young governor of Yousef Khel district in eastern Afghanistan takes US Army Lieutenant Marcus Smith by the hand and leads him down a slippery slope.

"Partnership," Smith says, as the two walk hand-in-hand over churned-up wheat fields, repeating the message at the heart of the strategy he is trying to implement in the small outpost he commands in Paktika province.

A determination to implement US and NATO commander General Stanley McChrystal's counter-insurgency strategy is evident among the soldiers in this part of Afghanistan.

At bases across the east, inverted pyramids and intricate flow charts are tacked to walls and scrawled on white boards, with slogans such as: "The population is the centre of gravity."

Up mountains and through valleys, soldiers on patrol muse on historical counter-insurgency campaigns and the writings of Che Guevara or Mao Zedong, trying to find analogies for their modern war.

"We came in with a counter-terrorism strategy specifically to remove the Taliban," said US Army Major Steven Bower, an intelligence officer for the eastern Afghan provinces of Khost, Paktika and Paktya.

"You have to transition into a strategy that looks, smells and tastes like counter-insurgency -- you've got to provide security, you've got to build capacity and government."

It has been a bruising year for foreign forces. Some 520 troops died last year, the highest number since the start of the US-led military action to oust the hardline Taliban regime in late 2001.

Troop numbers are set to peak at 150,000 by August as a push against the Taliban in their southern heartland intensifies. Afghan National Army (ANA) numbers are also increasing.

On the ground, more bases are being manned jointly by NATO and Afghan forces and NATO's International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) is funding development projects promoted to Afghans as government initiatives.

Frequent meetings with local elders aim to bring Afghans into contact with local authorities, often for the first time.

But implementing the plan creates problems, too.

In some remote areas there is no government partner. In others, local leaders are too young and inexperienced to have any influence. Rookie Afghan police and army lock horns, while wary tribal elders refuse to cooperate.

Militants are attacking development projects while money is frequently skimmed in the corruption-riddled nation, US officials say.

"It's a very slow and tedious process and you take a couple of steps forward and you take a step backwards here and there," said Lieutenant Colonel David Fivecoat, commander of 3rd Battalion, 187th Infantry Regiment in Paktika.

Fivecoat talks about the "oil spot" theory: bringing security and establishing a government presence in one population centre before branching out to smaller, outlying villages.

But it is a tug-of-war for influence and allegiance, he added, as Taliban attacks and pressure on the locals intensifies.

In southern Afghanistan, foreign forces are focused on the first principle of counter-insurgency -- restoring security.

Many of the new troops have arrived, launching massive assaults into urban areas to wrest them back from Taliban control.

Eastern Afghanistan has had a NATO presence for much longer, and while attacks are rising, military officials say McChrystal's strategy is already taking hold.

Troops numbers are set to double in the east this year and more civilians are being brought in for development work.

"I think I have seen the results here in RC (Regional Command) East," said Major General Curtis Scaparrotti, head of ISAF operations in the east.

"We have areas that are much more secure now that the Afghan security forces and the civil leadership have taken charge and we're beginning to expand from those."

But Afghans working the parched fields and trying to dodge the Taliban feel they have a long way to go before their lives improve.

Government officials also see a difficult road ahead.

"I don't think the US are going to leave us by ourselves because our ANA and ANP (Afghan army and police) need more time and more work," said Abdul Qayum Katawazy, governor of Paktika province.

"Then they can leave. But in the current situation, I don't think so."



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THE STANS
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