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Eerily quiet on South Korea's frontline border island
Eerily quiet on South Korea's frontline border island
By Kang Jin-kyu
Yeonpyeong, South Korea (AFP) Jan 8, 2024

On South Korea's remote border island of Yeonpyeong, heavily armed soldiers locked up the beaches at dusk on Monday -- a reminder of the picturesque spot's proximity to the nuclear-armed North.

Pyongyang has conducted live-fire artillery drills for three days near Yeonpyeong and another border island, Seoul's military said, prompting counter-drills, heightened security, and evacuation orders for residents.

The island is just three kilometres (1.8 miles) from North Korean territory, and on Monday visibility was clear enough to see multiple North Korean islands just across the contested maritime border.

AFP watched two soldiers carrying automatic weapons close giant metal gates topped with razor wire, as the sun set over Yeonpyeong's western beach.

"The gates are usually closed for security reasons but it was open today for a coastline exploration mission," a South Korean Marine official told AFP, speaking on condition of anonymity.

Contingents of South Korean soldiers are permanently based on the island, which has long been on the frontline of the Cold War-era conflict that ended in 1953 with an armistice that was never replaced by a peace treaty, so both sides remain technically at war.

Residents still remember a 2010 attack, when North Korea shelled the island directly, killing four people, including two marines.

"Because of the painful memory from the 2010 shelling, residents here became panicked when told to escape to shelters," Lee Yeon-hwan, who runs a restaurant on Yeonpyeong, told AFP.

He said Friday's evacuation order -- ahead of South Korean military counter drills -- was the first issued in six or seven years, and that it had triggered a lot of trauma for older residents.

"Talking about (the 2010 attack) brings sad, painful memory so people here don't like to talk about it," the 60-year-old added.

Lee's restaurant, one of the oldest on the island, relies on the soldiers stationed on the island for its income. And when tensions are high, it's bad for business.

"When they're on high alert, they can't go out to dine here," he said ruefully.

"And their families are not able to visit them, which is also a downside because they often dine out," when they have family in town.

- 'Home of freedom' -

Relations between the two Koreas are at one of their lowest points in decades after North Korean leader Kim Jong Un last year enshrined his country's status as a nuclear power into the constitution and test-fired several advanced ICBMs.

At Pyongyang's year-end policy meetings, Kim threatened a nuclear attack on South Korea and called for a build-up of his country's military arsenal ahead of armed conflict that he warned could "break out any time".

Yeonpyeong felt eerily quiet when AFP visited Monday, with just soldiers and a handful of visiting Korean media out and about.

Despite the island's proximity to the North, defections across the maritime border are exceptionally rare -- only a couple of cases of North Koreans swimming to the South have ever been reported.

At the beach, however, a sign is posted on a concrete wall to greet any arrivals.

"Welcome to South Korea, home of freedom. Please press the telephone button we will safely escort you," it says.

AFP saw a telephone line, but no telephone on the beach, and was unable to locate a button.

N. Korean artillery aiming at S. Korean election, experts say
Seoul (AFP) Jan 8, 2024 - Days of North Korean live-fire drills close to its contested maritime border have a clear aim, experts and officials say: Pyongyang is trying to meddle in South Korea's upcoming general election.

Pyongyang's military has fired hundreds of artillery shells near two sparsely populated South Korean border islands since Friday, prompting evacuation orders, ferry cancellations and counter-drills.

North Korea has defended its drills as routine military exercises, saying they posed no risk to the islands, and accused Seoul of "confrontation hysteria".

But with South Korea's crucial general election just three months away -- and control of the country's parliament up for grabs -- experts say Pyongyang has ulterior motives for flexing its military muscles.

"North Korea is trying to induce political polarisation within South Korea," Park Won-gon, a professor at Ewha University in Seoul, told AFP.

"It's clear that they are trying to influence the elections and to do that, they need something controversial."

Pyongyang may be using its live-fire drills near the maritime border, known as the Northern Limit Line, to highlight the purported failures of South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol's North Korea policy, experts say -- and hurt his party's election prospects.

Hawkish Yoon came to office in 2022 vowing to get tough on North Korea, and his party is now trying to win back control of South Korea's parliament in the April vote.

North Korea also has a long track record of provocations ahead of key South Korean elections, experts say, as part of a broader strategy to cause disruption south of the border.

- 'Stupid' Yoon -

At the start of the year, North Korean leader Kim Jong Un's powerful sister, Kim Yo Jong, issued a statement mocking Yoon while praising his "sagacious and crafty" predecessor -- who is from the opposition party -- in what experts said was a clear attempt to sow political division.

Yoon's predecessor Moon Jae-in presided over a period of warmer ties with Pyongyang, including signing a 2018 military pact that created tension-reducing buffer zones along the maritime border.

But after Pyongyang put a spy satellite into orbit late last year, Yoon's government partially suspended the 2018 deal in protest -- prompting the North to tear it up soon after.

Kim Yo Jong said that Yoon's decision to move away from the pact showed he was "stupid" and had "destroyed security as a whole".

South Korea's military said shells from North Korea's recent artillery drills have landed in the now-defunct buffer zone.

Pyongyang denied this, and Kim Yo Jong claimed North Korea had conducted a "deceptive operation" to trick South Korean forces into believing they'd fired into the buffer zone -- which South Korea's military has dismissed as "low-level psychological warfare".

North Korea appears to "be signalling that the 2018 inter-Korean military agreement is dead", said Leif Easley, a professor at Ewha University.

Pyongyang is also "playing to its own domestic politics as much as it may be trying to sow division in South Korea", he added.

- 'Divide South Korean opinion' -

South Korea's spy agency warned as recently as December that there was a "high possibility" of military provocations from Pyongyang in 2024, "when fluid political situations are expected with the elections".

North Korea has long staged provocations ahead of major South Korean political events.

Weeks before the last general election in 2020, North Korea fired off its banned short-range ballistic missiles four times in one month -- a major show of force at the time.

Pyongyang also conducted a nuclear test just before South Koreans voted in the 2016 election.

Relations between the two Koreas are at one of their lowest points in decades after Kim Jong Un last year enshrined his country's status as a nuclear power into the constitution and test-fired several advanced ICBMs.

At Pyongyang's year-end policy meetings, he threatened a nuclear attack on the South and called for a build-up of his country's military arsenal ahead of armed conflict that he warned could "break out any time".

Such provocations are likely to continue, as the North seeks to "divide South Korea's public opinion" on how best to deal with their neighbour, Cho Han-bum, a senior research fellow at the Korea Institute for National Unification said.

"It will continue to escalate military tensions and pursue a strategy of blaming the cause of the security anxiety on the Yoon administration."

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