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Eye on Afghanistan, Gates hopes to quit in 2011

Afghan exit for security contractors 'very challenging:' US
Washington (AFP) Aug 16, 2010 - The United States promised Monday to work with Afghan authorities who ordered the elimination of private security firms, but raised doubts about whether it could occur in four months. President Hamid Karzai gave a four-month deadline to firms to disband armed personnel, who are criticized by many Afghans as overbearing and seen by the Afghan government as diverting resources needed to train the army and police. The US State Department, which accounts for some of the contracts, said it would be hard to meet the deadline without an alternative to private firms that escort diplomats, aid workers and others traveling around Afghanistan. "We have security requirements that can't be met under the traditional arrangements... that we normally have with any other sovereign state," State Department spokesman Philip Crowley told reporters. "We will see what we can do," Crowley said, adding: "Four months... is a very challenging deadline."

A senior State Department official was more blunt when he spoke to reporters on the condition of anonymity: "Can we have all private security contractors out of Afghanistan in four months? The answer is no." But Crowley said US officials would cooperate with the Karzai government to understand what the president intends and to meet the larger goal of transferring security responsibilities to the Afghan government. The Pentagon, the overwhelming source for the firms' contracts, did not comment directly on the deadline but said it shared Karzai's goal of eventually eliminating the need for private security companies. But Pentagon spokesman Bryan Whitman said the dissolution should take place "in a deliberate way and a way that recognizes the scale and scope of this challenge."

Until the day when private security firms are no longer needed, he said, "we're going to continue to work with the government of Afghanistan to improve the oversight and management as well as developing plans to progressively reduce their numbers as the security conditions permit." Karzai's spokesman, Waheed Omer, said private firms employed 30,000-40,000 armed personnel across Afghanistan. They are employed by more than 50 companies, roughly half of them Afghan. Whitman said that 26,000 of the personnel were contracted by the US government, of which 19,000 were paid by the Defense Department. Others were mostly with the State Department and the US Agency for International Development. The firms provide security across violence-wracked Afghanistan to groups ranging from foreign militaries and embassies to non-governmental organizations to media companies. The United States and its allies would likely count on security firms to support future international operations in Afghanistan. The United States plans to start withdrawing combat troops from Afghanistan in mid-2011, although General David Petraeus, the US commander in the country, said Sunday he could recommend a delay if the situation requires it.
by Staff Writers
Washington (AFP) Aug 16, 2010
US Defense Secretary Robert Gates said Monday he hoped to step down in 2011, predicting it would be clear by then whether the US surge strategy in Afghanistan was working.

Gates, 66, the sole Republican holdover in President Barack Obama's cabinet, has provided continuity on national security as the Democratic president took charge of the White House and two wars last year.

Gates, a former CIA director with a 40-year career in government, has long hinted he wanted to leave. He was tapped by former president George W. Bush in 2006 to replace the controversial Donald Rumsfeld amid a near debacle in Iraq.

"I think that by next year I'll be in a position where -- you know, we're going to know whether the strategy is working in Afghanistan," Gates said in an interview with Foreign Policy magazine.

"We'll have completed the surge. We'll have done the assessment in December. And it seems like somewhere there in 2011 is a logical opportunity to hand off."

Gates said it would be wrong for him to wait until January 2012 to try and hand over the reins as it could be tricky to "get a good candidate" in an election year when the administration might be voted out.

"I just think this is not the kind of job you want to fill in the spring of a presidential election. So I think sometime in 2011 sounds pretty good."

Pentagon spokesman Geoff Morrell played down the interview, noting that every time Gates "seriously considered hanging it up for good, he ultimately has decided to keep serving."

"This is not Secretary Gates announcing his retirement. This is the secretary musing about when it would make sense for him to finally bow out," Morrell said.

White House spokesman Bill Burton said it was not surprise that Gates would speak about his plans to move on.

As a veteran Republican, Gates was seen as providing political cover and expertise as Obama fulfilled pledges to pull US troops from Iraq and refocused on the fight against Afghanistan's Taliban.

The United States is pouring some 30,000 more troops into Afghanistan, part of the "surge" that will swell US numbers to 100,000 in the coming weeks.

Obama, announcing the strategy last year, said the United States would start pulling out troops in July 2011, sending a signal both to a wary US public and to an overly dependent Afghan leadership that the US commitment was not open ended.

But the timeline has been strongly criticized by some who believe it would boost the Taliban's resolve by sending out the message that America is not in the fight for the long-term.

"The July 2011 deadline was a hard hurdle for me to get over because I'd fought against deadlines with respect to Iraq consistently," Gates told Foreign Policy.

"But I became persuaded that something like that was needed to get the attention of the Afghan government, that they had to take ownership of this thing," Gates said. "And I recognized the risks."

General David Petraeus, the top US commander in Afghanistan, in a televised interview on Sunday left open the option of recommending a delay in the withdrawal of troops if warranted by conditions on the ground.

The Obama administration has insisted the United States will remain engaged in Afghanistan well after July 2011. Afghan President Hamid Karzai has pledged to take responsibility for security from US-led NATO forces by the end of 2014.

US public support for the near nine-year war has slumped to an all-time low and the US death toll hit a monthly high of 66 in July. A growing number of Democrats have called for an exit strategy, saying the war is hurting rather than helping US interests.

Speculation has been rife for months on Gates's successor.

Some pundits believe Obama may tap Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, who dealt closely with military issues as a senator, to be the first female defense chief. Clinton has been coy about her plans but said she does not want to serve as the chief US diplomat if Obama is elected to a second term.

Other potential candidates include Michele Flournoy, the current under secretary of defense for policy, seen by some as being groomed for the top job, and former senator Sam Nunn, a conservative Democrat.

Obama is the seventh president Gates has served in a 40-year career at the heart of the US national security apparatus, mostly in the Central Intelligence Agency.

He played a controversial role in Central America in the 1980s. He was implicated but not indicted in the Iran-Contra scandal in which the United States sold weapons to Iran's Islamic regime to fund Nicaragua's anti-communist rebels.



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