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TERROR WARS
Foreign jihadists flock to IS despite air strikes
by Staff Writers
London (AFP) Oct 31, 2014


Foreign fighters stream into Syria: US officials
Washington (AFP) Oct 31, 2014 - Foreign fighters are streaming into Syria at a rate of roughly 1,000 a month, with no let-up in the flow despite international efforts to stem the tide, US officials said Friday.

The surge in foreign militants heading to Syria surpasses anything seen in previous conflicts in the past 10 years, including wars in Afghanistan, Yemen, Somalia or elsewhere, said a US intelligence official, who spoke on condition of anonymity.

"It's safe to say this conflict stands out with the highest rate in the last decade," the official told AFP.

US intelligence agencies now believe there are more than 16,000 volunteers from 80 countries that have traveled to Syria to fight with various militant groups, including the Islamic State jihadists who have seized large swathes of territory in Iraq and Syria.

"All of these numbers are trending upward," the official said.

There was no sign yet that US-led air strikes against the Islamic State group in Syria and Iraq or new restrictions aimed at foreign volunteers in several countries had affected the flow, officials said.

Analysts say the numbers may be much higher while US officials acknowledge that tracking the movement of foreign volunteers remains a challenge -- and that any figure released is only a rough estimate.

"We have limited insights on this," the official added.

Most of the volunteers have come from the Middle East and North Africa, with the highest number of fighters flowing out of Tunisia, officials said.

More than 2,000 hail from European nations and more than 100 from the United States, with a small number -- about a dozen -- linked to the Islamic State group, according US estimates.

- Returning radicalized -

The numbers on foreign fighters were first reported by NBC News and the Washington Post.

James Clapper, director of national intelligence, warned this week the foreign fighters may return to their countries ready to orchestrate violence.

"First and foremost, the more than 16,000 foreign fighters who gravitated to Syria are now returning to their countries of origin, including in the West," Clapper said at an event Monday.

"They've picked up dangerous skills and radicalization, both at the same time," Clapper said.

The chaos in Syria -- where a civil war has raged for three years between the regime of President Bashar al-Assad and opposition forces -- porous borders and the sophisticated use of social media by hardline militants to recruit volunteers have all paved the way for the influx of foreign fighters, according to US officials and experts.

The Islamic State jihadists in particular have exploited social media as a powerful propaganda tool, unlike Al-Qaeda, according to Michael Leiter, former head of the National Counterterrorism Center.

The Islamic State group "is in social media, and it is going after 'Jihadi Cool,'" Leiter told NBC's "Meet the Press" on Sunday.

"What we have to do now is counter that message using social media just as effectively. And that's not something the US government over the past 10 years has been particularly good at," he said.

The Islamic State group is recruiting foreign jihadists on an "unprecedented scale" despite international efforts to stem the tide, according to experts and extracts of a UN report published by Britain's Guardian newspaper.

Latest US figures show that around 1,000 foreign fighters are flocking to fight in Iraq and Syria every month, and experts warn that the newest militants may be more extreme than early recruits.

The number of jihadists travelling to fight since 2010 exceeds the cumulative total of those joining other global extremist organisations over the 20 preceding years by "many times", the UN Security Council study said, according to the Guardian.

"Many foreign fighters that originally left for Syria really did think they were going out for a humanitarian cause," said Erin Marie Saltman, senior researcher at counter-extremism think tank Quilliam.

"Now the stakes are slightly higher. Anyone going over as a foreign fighter now, you have to have been radicalised into believing in martyrdom, so most of those individuals will not actually be expecting to come back," she said.

Russian fighters constitute the biggest single fighting force from a non-Muslim country, numbering over 800, and the US-led air strikes will only strengthen their resolve, according to a local expert.

"They are idealists, fanatics, who believe in a global caliphate as we believed in communism," said Alexei Malashenko, from the Carnegie Endowment in Moscow.

Malashenko said the air campaign against IS jihadists had failed to put off new recruits.

"Air strikes have had no effect on recruitment," he said.

The Central Intelligence Agency estimates there are around 15,000 foreigners fighting with the Islamic State (IS) and other hardcore militant groups, although Saltman suggested the number may be closer to 16,000.

Previous figures showed there were 7,000 foreign jihadists fighting in March, and 12,000 in July suggesting 1,000 a month increase, despite the launch of air strikes against IS combatants three months ago.

"It's safe to say this conflict stands out with the highest rate in the last decade," a US security official told AFP. "All of these numbers are trending upward."

According to the Soufan Group think-tank, the highest numbers of foreign jihadists were from Muslim countries, including 3,000 from Tunisia and 2,500 from Saudi Arabia.

- IS reach spreading -

If anything, the air strikes in Iraq and Syria could be used as a propaganda tool by IS leaders to attract more recruits, experts warned.

"Any message they can send saying, 'Look at what the West does to Muslims', they will use that as a rallying call," said Simon Palombi, terrorism expert at think-tank Chatham House.

"ISIS have been very savvy when it comes to their propaganda and recruitment, as the 15,000 that have been recruited demonstrates," he said, using an alternative name for the IS group.

The report was produced by a UN committee that monitors al-Qaeda, and concluded that the once mighty and feared extremist group was now "maneuvering for relevance" following the rise of the even more militant IS group, which was booted out of al-Qaeda by leader Ayman al-Zawahiri.

The UN agreed with the US government that "core al-Qaeda remains weak", but argued that its demise had only paved the way for more bloody groups.

There is also growing evidence that IS cells are strengthening across the Middle East and North Africa, with 3,000 fighters already based in Libya, according to Romain Caillet, jihadist expert with French research group IFPO.

- 'Call of Duty' ads -

The UN report put the IS group's recruitment success down to its "cosmopolitan embrace" of modern media and social networking.

"Some of their adverts have pretty much copied 'Call of Duty' (computer game) to recruit that sort of age group, they're looking at young impressionable men," said Palombi.

But the reality of warfare could see the tactic backfire, said the experts.

Some recruits are trying to return home "because of disillusionment, because they have witnessed horrific events," said Saltman.

The UN warned that more nations than ever face the problem of dealing with fighters returning from the battle zone, with figures showing fighters from 81 countries.

To lower the risk of attacks in the home country, returning fighters must be put through deradicalisation programmes, Saltman stressed, and security forces will need to utilise all of their powers.

Iraqi forces enter jihadist-held town
Kirkuk, Iraq (AFP) Oct 31, 2014 - Iraqi forces on Friday attacked the strategic jihadist-held town of Baiji, which has been out of government control for months, regaining control of two areas, army officers said.

They "entered the town of Baiji... and moved into Al-Sinai and Al-Tamim neighbourhoods and cleared them," Staff Lieutenant General Abdulwahab al-Saadi, who leads the military command for the area, told AFP.

Major Hassan Mekhlif, who took part in the operation, confirmed the two areas had been retaken, adding that "our forces are stationed in a number of sites and checkpoints."

An army major general said the assault came after shelling targeting militants from the Islamic State (IS) jihadist group, which spearheaded a sweeping June offensive that overran Baiji and much of the rest of Iraq's Sunni Arab heartland.

Security forces, militiamen and tribesmen had been gathering for several days near Baiji, after advancing from the south in an operation launched more than two weeks ago.

Baiji lies on the main highway to Iraq's IS-controlled second city Mosul, and the town's recapture would also help to further isolate militants in the city of Tikrit, to the south.

The Baiji assault could also open the way to breaking a months-old jihadist siege of government forces defending Iraq's largest oil refinery, which is located near the town.

But government forces face a major challenge in retaking Baiji, and previous offensives have failed to gain ground.

The major general said the Baiji assault was interrupted by an attack on the command headquarters located at Tikrit University.

Three suicide bombers had tried to detonate explosives-rigged vehicles at the university but were killed, while other militants also took part in the attack, which was repelled after three hours.


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