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Iran talks offer vague but is an opening: analysts

Minister insists Iran has no desire to develop atomic bomb
Defence Minister Ahmad Vahidi on Saturday renewed Iran's insistence that it has no ambitions to develop an atomic bomb as world powers sought urgent talks on its latest proposals to allay concerns. "We regard production of weapons of mass destruction as contrary to our religious, human and national principles," the Fars news agency quoted Vahidi as saying. "Manufacturing nuclear weapons is not, and has never been, on our agenda." Vahidi is wanted by Argentina in connection with a deadly 1994 bombing against a Jewish centre in Buenos Aires but was unanimously approved as defence minister in a vote of confidence in parliament last week.

His comments came as six world powers - Britain, China, France, Germany, Russia and the United States -- considered new proposals handed over by Iran on Wednesday to delay Western concerns about the real purpose of its nuclear programme. Washington has already expressed disappointment with the proposals. "It is not really responsive to our greatest concern," assistant secretary of state for public affairs, Philip Crowley, told reporters on Thursday. The UN Security Council has given Iran repeated ultimatums to suspend uranium enrichment, the process which produces nuclear fuel or, in highly extended form, the fissile core of an atomic bomb. But on Friday, Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei insisted once again that the regime would not bow to international pressure over its nuclear programme. The Security Council has adopted three sets of sanctions against Iran over its failure to heed the ultimatums.

US wants confrontation between Iran and Iraq: Vahidi
Defence Minister Ahmad Vahidi said on Saturday that Washington was aiming to trigger a confrontation between former archfoes turned allies Iran and Iraq. "America's final goal is to create confrontation between Iran and Iraq," Vahidi said in reaction to an interview by US Defence Secretary Robert Gates in which he urged Washington's Arab allies to strengthen their military capabilities in order to pressure Iran into halting its nuclear programme. "We advise US officials not to try to militarise the atmosphere in the region and to change their wrong strategy to make up for past mistakes," Vahidi was quoted as saying by Fars new agency. According to a transcript of the interview with Al Jazeera aired on Monday, Gates said "one of the pathways to get the Iranians to change their approach on the nuclear issue is to persuade them that moving down that path will actually jeopardize their security, not enhance it.

"So the more that our Arab friends and allies can strengthen their security capabilities, the more they can strengthen their co-operation, both with each other and with us, I think sends the signal to the Iranians that this path they're on is not going to advance Iranian security but in fact could weaken it," he said. Gates also suggested that a democratic Iraq will help "diminish" Iran's influence in its Shiite neighbour. "I think that a strong and democratic Iraq, particularly one with a multi-sectarian government, becomes a barrier to Iranian influence and not a bridge for it," he said. "So I think, in the short term, perhaps Iran's position was strengthened somewhat but I think if you look to the longer term, and the role that Iraq can play in the region going forward, I think that Iran's position may well be diminished," he said. Iran and Iraq fought a brutal war in the 80s which left about a million people dead on both sides. But since the fall of Saddam Hussein, relations between the two Shiite neighbours have flourished.
by Staff Writers
Washington (AFP) Sept 13, 2009
Iran's latest offer of talks amounts to an opening bid to engage world powers in negotiations even if it fails to respond to their concerns about its nuclear program, analysts said.

An unprecedented opportunity may be underway as the United States reluctantly seeks to join negotiating partners Russia, China, Britain, France and Germany in an urgent test-the-waters meeting with Iran over the proposal.

Jacqueline Shire, an analyst at the Institute for Science and International Security, said Iran clearly demonstrates it is "not ignoring" the six powers by responding to their offer for talks with a proposal on Wednesday.

"There's only one place to go, and that is dialogue, diplomacy," said Shire, an expert in the global threat from weapons of mass destruction.

"I'm not sure how optimistic I am. I would not be surprised if in two months' time we are talking about another round of sanctions," Shire told AFP, noting there may be common ground on concerns over Tehran's controversial nuclear program, drugs and terrorism.

"But we have to begin somewhere."

In its proposal, Tehran said it was prepared to hold "comprehensive, all-encompassing and constructive negotiations," according to what a US non-profit investigative journalism group said was a copy of the five-page package.

The talks would address nuclear disarmament as well as a global framework for the use of "clean nuclear energy," according to the document published on Pro Publica's website.

But it did not address Iran's own nuclear program, which Western powers and Israel claim is a cover to build an atomic bomb, a charge Tehran denies, claiming it is a civilian nuclear energy program for civilian purposes.

State Department officials say there is nothing new in the proposal and it "does not really respond" to its greatest concern, the uranium enrichment program which it fears masks a plan to build a bomb.

Fariborz Ghadar, an Iran expert at the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies, said the proposal is similar to the position Tehran has held all year, but "the tone of this one was somewhat more optimistic."

To be sure, the Iranians did not promise to stop uranium enrichment, Ghadar cautioned. "What they did say, is they want a comprehensive program (of talks). That is an opening where we can start the negotiations," he added.

Ghadar also found "a ray of openness" in Iran's leadership producing the offer amid the "turmoil" over the June presidential election results, Iran's biggest domestic crisis since the 1979 revolution.

National Iranian American Council president Trita Parsi welcomed the proposal.

"While the Iranian response cannot be characterized as a resounding yes, neither is it a categorical rejection of negotiations," Parsi wrote in The Huffington Post, an online newspaper.

The offer should not be seen through the West's focus on nuclear issues, but through Iran's "long-standing objective to be recognized as a regional power with a permanent seat at the table of regional decision-making," he said.

"Iran believes that the nuclear stand-off provides it with an opportunity to achieve this objective."

Iran sees itself as having a legitimate role in shaping the future of the region, such as in Iraq, Lebanon and the Palestinian territories. It has also called for Israel to scrap its suspected stockpile of nuclear weapons.

"Iran's uncompromising stance and its cursory references to nuclear matters are most likely an opening bid, and not a red line," Parsi argued.

Parsi said the United States and Europe could turn to its advantage Iran's push for a broader agenda by welcoming its calls for UN reform but adding the question of human rights in Iran.

Other analysts were more pessimistic.

"This proposal does not give any evidence to suggest that Iran is willing or prepared to meet half-way on the nuclear issue, or interested in trying to reach a modus vivendi with the US on other points of contention," said Karim Sadjadpour, an expert at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

"The fact that they send a proposal laden with themes of democracy and justice -- while show trials and prison rapes are taking place back home -- underscores how delusional and incorrigible the Ahmadinejad government is."

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Iran defiant on nuclear rights as Putin warns against attack
Tehran (AFP) Sept 11, 2009
Iran on Friday stood firm against intense new international pressure over its disputed nuclear programme, and Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin warned the West against staging an attack. Supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei insisted that Iran must defend its right to nuclear power as world powers demanded urgent talks with Tehran on its nuclear drive and Washington insisted there was no ... read more







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