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NUKEWARS
Iran, world powers hold tough talks
by Staff Writers
Istanbul (AFP) April 14, 2012

'Positive atmosphere' at Iran, world power talks: EU
Istanbul (AFP) April 14, 2012 - Talks between Iran and six world powers in Istanbul on Tehran's nuclear programme, the first in 15 months, began Saturday in a "positive atmosphere," a European Union spokesman said.

"There is a positive atmosphere. ... There is a desire for substantive progress," Michael Mann, spokesman for EU foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton, told reporters.

"There is no disagreement yet," said Mann, calling the atmosphere "good and friendly."

But with mutual mistrust and tough talk on both sides major progress looks unlikely.

According to officials close to the negotiations between Iran and the United States, Russia, China, Britain, France and Germany (the P5+1), the most that can be hoped for is an agreement to hold more detailed discussions in a few weeks.

"It depends on what happens," said Mann, adding that if there is a certain extent of progress at the Istanbul talks, Western powers would opt to a second round.

But Mann said: "We have to do the first round of the talks first."

The two sides could have a new round of negotiations in May, said a source close to the talks.

Iran insists that this new round should take place in Baghdad.

Diplomats seek 'serious' Iran commitment: report
Washington (AFP) April 13, 2012 - European officials gathered in Turkey for talks on Iran's nuclear program have suggested that a serious commitment from Tehran to negotiate may be enough to allow another round of discussions in May, The New York Times reported Friday.

Citing unnamed diplomats, the newspaper said that a positive first step would be for Tehran to agree to allow the inspectors to visit all nuclear sites, including those Iran refused to show them in February.

The report came as senior diplomats from the United States, Russia, China, Britain, France and Germany -- known as the P5+1 -- prepared to gather at the negotiating table with Iranian counterparts in Istanbul on Saturday.

Foreign ministers from the Group of Eight major industrialized nations called Thursday on Iran to begin a "constructive and serious dialogue" while highlighting Tehran's "persistent failure to comply with its obligations."

US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton also fired a warning shot, saying the Istanbul talks were "a chance for Iran to credibly address the concerns of the international community."

But a source close to Tehran's delegation saying that Western comments ahead of the talks did not "give us much hope."

The Times cited the diplomats as saying that allowing the inspectors back in would help restore confidence and could be enough by itself to open the way to further talks.

Iran has fueled Western suspicious by denying the International Atomic Energy Agency access to the Parchin military base near Tehran, where the agency says Iran may have tested explosives for warhead research, the paper noted.

If the talks ultimately fail, both the United States and Israel have refused to rule out military action in order to stop Iran's steady enrichment of uranium to 20 percent purity, just a few technical steps from bomb-grade, The Times pointed out.


Iran and world powers sat down Saturday for their first meeting in 15 months hoping to ease tensions over Tehran's nuclear programme, but with mutual mistrust and tough talk making a major breakthrough look unlikely.

According to officials close to the negotiations between Iran and the United States, Russia, China, Britain, France and Germany (the P5+1), the most that can be hoped for is an agreement to hold more detailed discussions in a few weeks.

"We don't expect to get a lot of detail ... but it will be about possibly meeting again in four to six weeks time if we can, when we will get into that detail," one diplomat said on condition of anonymity.

EU foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton, also in Istanbul, said "much depends on what Iran is putting on the table today." Her spokesman added that the talks on Saturday began in a "positive atmosphere" with a "desire for substantive progress."

"The time for tactical games is long over," German Foreign Minister Guido Westerwelle said in a statement issued in Berlin, saying the talks would be "anything but easy."

Representing Washington was Wendy Sherman, undersecretary for political affairs. Ma Zhaoxu, assistant foreign minister, led the Chinese delegation, while Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov headed Moscow's team.

Sources in the Iranian delegation, led by Saeed Jalili, said as he went into the talks that they would be "worthy of the Iranian people." There would be a morning and an afternoon session as well as talks over lunch, his delegation said.

The main concern of the international community, particularly for Iran's arch foe Israel, is Tehran's growing capacity to enrich uranium, which can be used in power generation and other peaceful uses but, when purified further, for a nuclear weapon.

Of particular worry is the formerly secret Fordo site in a mountain bunker near the holy city of Qom, currently enriching to 20-percent purity but which experts say could be reconfigured to produce 90-percent weapons grade material.

Fordo's expansion, plus a major UN atomic agency report in November on alleged "weaponisation" efforts, have led to tighter EU and US sanctions on Iran's oil sector due to bite this summer and talk of Israeli military strikes.

Following earlier false starts, Western governments -- and in particular US President Barack Obama as he seeks re-election this November -- are wary of being accused of being duped by empty Iranian promises that just buy Tehran more time.

Obama, who has warned against "loose talk" of war, said last month that "both the Iranian and the Israeli governments recognise that when the United States says it is unacceptable for Iran to have a nuclear weapon, we mean what we say."

"I think that the Israeli government recognises that, as president of the United States, I don't bluff."

Highlighting the deep mistrust and the major differences, a source close to the Iranian delegation said Friday that recent Western comments did not "give us much hope" and were "disappointing and discouraging."

The West has stressed the need for Iranian "seriousness", with Group of Eight (G8) foreign ministers on Thursday highlighting Tehran's "persistent failure to comply with its obligations."

"If Iran turns up for the meeting in the same spirit of 'Istanbul I', we're not going to get very far," one P5+1 source told AFP, referring to the last stab at talks in this Turkish city in January 2011.

"We haven't come here to talk about lifting sanctions."

US media reports meanwhile have suggested that the P5+1 want Iran to halt enrichment of uranium to purities of 20 percent, shutter Fordo and send Tehran's stockpiles of enriched uranium abroad.

Iran meanwhile has promised to present "new initiatives", but diplomats said it was unclear what these were or whether they would be enough to convince the P5+1 that further negotiations, possibly in Baghdad in May, would be worth it.

The world powers also want Iran to grant the International Atomic Energy Agency greater access to ease fears that it might have covert facilities, and to answer accusations made in the IAEA's November report.

But comments from Iran, most notably from President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, underline that Tehran will not consent to anything that infringes on its right to peaceful nuclear activities without promises that sanctions will be lifted.

"Iran will ultimately insist upon a guarantee ... that it has the right to enrich uranium," Mark Hibbs, analyst at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, told AFP ahead of the talks.

"Iran's minimum expectation from the P5+1 is that they seek Iran's trust by cancelling all illegal resolutions and sanctions as the first step," hardline Iranian daily Kayhan said Saturday.

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Iran nuclear crisis timeline
Istanbul (AFP) April 14, 2012 - Senior diplomats from Iran were due to meet with six leading world powers here on Saturday for talks on the Islamic Republic's nuclear programme.

Representatives of the United States, China, Russia, Britain, France and Germany will be seeking to persuade Iran to scale back its enrichment of uranium, which can be used for peaceful purposes but also for a nuclear bomb.

They also want Iran to grant the UN atomic agency greater access to its nuclear sites and to ship its enriched uranium stockpiles abroad. Iran insists on its right to peaceful nuclear activities and wants sanctions to be eased.

Herewith key developments in the standoff over Iran's nuclear programme:

2005

- Aug 8: Iran resumes uranium conversion activities which had been suspended since November 2004.

2006

- April 11: Iran says it has enriched its first uranium to 3.5 percent purity and later, in May, to 4.8 percent. This is insufficient from the 90-percent level needed for a nuclear bomb but shows Iran is making progress.

- Dec 23: The UN Security Council imposes sanctions on Iran's trade in sensitive nuclear materials and technology. It strengthens the measures in 2007 and 2008.

2007

- April 9: President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad says Iran can produce nuclear fuel on an industrial scale.

2009

- April 9: Iran inaugurates its first nuclear fuel plant, and says it has installed 7,000 uranium enrichment centrifuges at Natanz.

- Sept 25-28: Iran reveals a secret uranium enrichment plant, Fordo, which is being built inside a mountain near the holy city of Qom.

2010

- June-July: World powers enact new military and financial sanctions.

- Aug 21: Iran starts loading fuel into its Russian-built first nuclear plant at Bushehr.

2011

- Jan 22: Failure of new talks between Tehran and six world powers in Istanbul.

- July 19: Iran says it has begun installing new centrifuges with better quality and speed.

- Aug 22: Iran says it has begun transferring centrifuges from Natanz to the Fordo underground site.

- Nov 8: The IAEA publishes a major report citing "overall, credible" evidence from different sources that until the end of 2003, and possibly since, Iran had "activities... relevant to the development of a nuclear explosive device."

- Dec 31: US President Barack Obama signs into law tough new sanctions targeting Iran's central bank and financial sector.

2012

- Jan 1: Iran says its scientists have "tested the first nuclear fuel rod produced from uranium ore deposits inside the country."

- Jan 9: The IAEA confirms that Iran has started enriching uranium at Fordo to purities of 20 percent, a major technological step that takes it significantly closer to being able to enrich to weapons-grade, if it decided to do so.

- Jan 11: An Iranian nuclear scientist is killed in a Tehran car bomb assassination, the fourth scientist killed in two years.

- Jan 23: The EU announces a ban on Iranian oil, along with sanctions against Iran's central bank.

- Feb 15: Ahmadinejad unveils what is said to be Iran's first domestically produced, 20-percent enriched nuclear fuel for Tehran's research reactor and says 3,000 more centrifuges had been added to the uranium enrichment effort.

Iran also activated a new generation of centrifuges that it said increased its enrichment capacity by three times.

- Feb 22: The chief UN nuclear inspector returns from a second visit to Iran, saying his team was not given access to the Parchin military site where Tehran is alleged to have carried out tests aimed at developing nuclear warheads

- March 6: Global powers offer to resume talks with Tehran.

- April 14: World powers and Iran set to meet again in Istanbul to discuss Tehran's promised "new initiatives" on its nuclear activities.



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NUKEWARS
G8 powers urge Iran to hold 'constructive dialogue'
Washington (AFP) April 12, 2012
World powers Thursday urged Iran to begin a "constructive and serious dialogue" to answer international concerns over its suspect nuclear program as talks in Istanbul loom at the weekend. "Iran's persistent failure to comply with its obligations... and to meet the requirements of the IAEA Board of Governors resolutions is a cause of urgent concern," foreign ministers from Group of Eight nati ... read more


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