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IRAQ WARS
Iraq veering towards 'Lebanonisation'
by Staff Writers
Baghdad (AFP) Dec 14, 2011

Bombs target Iraq oil pipelines, exports unaffected
Baghdad (AFP) Dec 14, 2011 - Multiple bomb attacks set oil pipelines ablaze in southern Iraq, partially halting production but leaving exports unaffected, oil ministry spokesman Assem Jihad said on Wednesday.

"Around 9:00 pm (1800 GMT Tuesday), several bombs damaged pipelines transporting oil from the Rumaila-south oil field to the Zubair-1 storage facility," Jihad told AFP, referring to sites in south Iraq.

"This sabotage sparked a large fire which was brought under control at 7:00 am (0400 GMT) on Wednesday. Exports were not affected by these attacks. Repairs should take around one week."

Jihad said production at Rumaila-south of 1.4 million barrels per day (bpd) was reduced by 700,000 bpd.

A security official in Basra, Iraq's southernmost province where the attacks took place, said a total of three blasts targeted the pipelines.

Ali Ghanim al-Maliki, head of Basra provincial council's security committee, told AFP that the bombs had damaged pipelines in al-Berjasiyah, 50 kilometres (30 miles) south of Basra city.

Iraq is dependent on oil exports for virtually all of its government income. The country produces around 2.9 million bpd, of which some 2.1 million bpd is exported.

It aims to raise the former figure to around 12 million bpd by 2017.

The attacks come with just weeks to go before the US military completes a full withdrawal from Iraq, at which point security will be handled entirely by domestic forces.


Eight years after the fall of Saddam Hussein, Iraq is veering towards a "Lebanonisation" of its political system, with power permanently distributed along strict ethnic and sectarian lines, experts say.

For two governments in a row, the posts of president, premier and parliament speaker have been parcelled out to a Kurd, a Shiite and a Sunni, all with deputies of the other two groups, a path analysts warn is dangerous.

"What we fear is a Lebanonisation and unfortunately, this is what is happening," said Mowafaq al-Rubaie, a former national security adviser, referring to Lebanon's codified distribution of power.

"Certain political parties, who claim to speak on behalf of a sect, believe that a Lebanonisation of the regime is in their interests."

For nearly 80 years, Iraq was ruled by its Sunni minority which did not cede power to the country's Shiite majority until after the 2003 US-led invasion.

What followed were years of horrific sectarian violence which peaked in 2006 and 2007, when tens of thousands of people were killed.

A year ago, Iraq's political leaders all but made the new system official after more than eight months without a government following elections in March 2010.

They agreed to a government of national unity with the same outlines of one that emerged following the country's previous parliamentary elections in December 2005.

Jalal Talabani, a Kurd, would retain the presidency with a Sunni and a Shiite as his deputies; Nuri al-Maliki, a Shiite, would remain prime minister with a Sunni, a Kurd and a Shiite as his deputies; and Osama al-Nujaifi, a Sunni, was named speaker, with Shiite and Kurdish deputies.

Such an agreement is similar in construction to Lebanon, where power is shared between 18 religious communities in a quota system that applies not only to ministerial posts, but also to top officials.

For Ihsan al-Shammari, a political science professor at Baghdad University, "there are great similarities between the nature of the regimes in Iraq and Lebanon -- the divisions are the same, based along ethnic and sectarian lines."

"The only difference," Shammari said, "is that here it is not written in the constitution like in Lebanon."

The Lebanese constitution dictates that parliament seats be split between Muslims and Christians.

And the Taif Agreement that ended the 1975-1990 civil war says that the president must be Maronite Christian, the speaker of parliament Shiite, and the prime minister Sunni, codifying an unwritten rule that dated back decades.

"Unfortunately (in Iraq), these quotas do not simply concern the three main posts -- they have spilled over into government departments, and have had a snowball effect to the point of affecting who is chosen to work in parliament and government ministries, as well as the security forces," Shammari said.

As a result, many Iraqis now complain of being kept out of employment in their chosen profession as a result of their ethnic or religious background, details that were taboo, at least officially, in Saddam's Sunni-dominated regime.

Wissam al-Faili, an engineer of Kurdish ethnicity, was hired to work in the water resources ministry when its minister was a Kurd.

"Now, the minister is a Sadrist (a member of the bloc loyal to anti-US Shiite cleric Moqtada al-Sadr), and the majority of the employees are now Shiite Arabs," the 39-year-old said.

According to Ahmed al-Sammaraie, a 36-year-old Sunni Arab working in the electricity ministry, "politicians, and even people in general, are not loyal to the country, unlike before 2003."

"The sectarian and political quotas are present everywhere, and affect even the smallest of issues like groups of pilgrims (bound for the hajj in Mecca, Saudi Arabia), for which Shiites are entitled to twice as many spots as Sunnis," Sammaraie said.

And, much like Lebanon, neighbouring countries play major roles behind the scenes.

The fragile accord that led to the formation of Maliki's unity government reflected the balance of power in the region, with the United States and its ally Saudi Arabia on one side, and Iraq's neighbour Iran on the other, according to experts.

Also like Lebanon, little in the way of legislation is passed through parliament -- key issues such as a law regulating the energy sector, or reform of the mostly state-controlled economy have languished, while permanent ministers of interior and defence have yet to be named.

"All the political parties have allegiances with foreign countries, and they have more (allegiances) than with their homeland," said Shammari. "These links are the principal reason for the (political) deadlock."

Rubaie, the ex-national security adviser, adds: "We cannot talk amongst ourselves, because we have allowed our neighbours to interfere."

Despite this, he remains optimistic -- the withdrawal of US forces due by year-end marks "a golden opportunity resolve the issues between us."

"This is a great chance to avoid transforming Iraq into a second Lebanon."

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Obama to honor troops to mark end of Iraq war
Washington (AFP) Dec 14, 2011 - President Barack Obama will Wednesday embrace returning troops and seek to turn the page on the divisive, bloody and costly period of modern US history stained by the Iraq war.

He will pay homage to military sacrifices and seek to move Americans towards a future unclouded by major foreign land wars and urge them to join an effort to rebuild the country's recession-hammered economy, officials said.

Obama, who rose to power opposing the Iraq war, told a Virginia television station Tuesday he would express "incredible pride in those men and women" who gave "millions of Iraqis the chance to live in freedom."

He will travel to Fort Bragg, North Carolina, days before the final exit of all US troops from Iraq, after a near nine-year war that killed almost 4,500 Americans, tens of thousands of Iraqis and cost more than a trillion dollars.

Fort Bragg is home to units including elements of the storied 82nd Airborne Division, which had made repeated deployments to Iraq after president George W. Bush ordered a 2003 invasion to topple Saddam Hussein.

"This is the core commitment that the president made to the country -- that he would end this war -- and the war has ended," a senior Obama aide said Tuesday.

"You are going to see some very powerful images in the coming weeks of troops leaving. This is a very significant moment for the country."

Obama opened several days of remembrance by hosting Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki at the White House on Monday and promised an "enduring" future relationship with his country.

There are fears however that Iraq, despite years of training by US forces, still lacks the capacity to defend its borders and could be unduly influenced by Washington's foe Iran.

Some US observers also fear a return to bloody sectarianism, doubt the strength of Iraq's political structures, and feel Maliki, a Shiite, has been entrenching himself in power to the detriment of the country's minorities.

But the focus on Wednesday will be the end of America's war.

"The President looks forward to thanking the troops, thanking those who served, and discussing what that sacrifice that Americans have made means now, as the Iraq war comes to an end," said Obama spokesman Jay Carney.

"We live in a world where sometimes we travel at warp speed, in terms of our attention to events. But it wasn't that long ago that Iraq was the most dominant issue in America."

Obama's visit will also have a political dimension, in North Carolina, a state which he won in his 2008 election victory and hopes to recapture on the road to a second term in 2012.

When Obama took office, more than 150,000 troops were in Iraq, but the few thousand that remain will leave this month after an effort by both sides to agree an extended US training mission failed over a dispute about legal immunity for American personnel.

But some of the euphoria that might have been expected to greet the end of such a divisive and costly war is mitigated by public exhaustion and the fact America remains embroiled in an even longer conflict, in Afghanistan.

The president will also remind Americans that they have a duty to care for badly wounded soldiers who will weigh on public finances and American medical resources for decades to come.

The administration has launched several programs to help returning soldiers when they take off their uniforms and enter the civilian work force, but unemployment for veterans of the last decade remains at 11.1 percent.

With one eye on his reelection bid at a time of economic dislocation and high unemployment, Obama will also stress that the energy America poured into fighting wars abroad must now be turned to easing woes at home.



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IRAQ WARS
US-Iraq ties to remain close post-pullout: experts
Baghdad (AFP) Dec 13, 2011
Baghdad's ties with Washington will likely stay close even after US troops depart, but neighbouring countries including Iran will probably make plays for increased influence here, experts say. All US troops except for a small number of trainers are to depart by the end of December, but Iraq will still host the largest American embassy in the world, with the US mission including up to 16,000 ... read more


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