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THE STANS
Iraqi Kurds vote for new parliament
By Abdulhamid Zebari with Shwan Muhammad in Sulaimaniyah
Arbil, Iraq (AFP) Sept 30, 2018

Iraq's Kurds vote, their statehood dream in tatters
Arbil, Iraq (AFP) Sept 28, 2018 - A year ago, the roads of Iraqi Kurdistan were decked out with green, red and white Kurdish flags as the region voted overwhelmingly for independence from Baghdad.

Today, the election posters lining the streets of regional capital Arbil ahead of Sunday's parliamentary vote are simply an annoyance to many Kurdish voters, angry at their leadership and the economic crisis deepened by the September 2017 poll.

"They are spending crazy money on printing campaign posters," said Abdullah Mohammed, a 69-year-old retiree. "But when people in need ask for help, they say there's a crisis and there's no money."

Twelve months since a controversial referendum that sparked a punishing backlash from Baghdad, Iraq's divided Kurds will elect a regional parliament Sunday, their dreams of statehood shattered.

"These elections don't interest me at all," Mohammed said, a black and white kuffiyeh scarf on his head.

Last year's poll, held in defiance of the international community, sparked anger and a firm rejection from the Iraqi capital.

It also deepened the divide between the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) of longtime regional leader Massud Barzani, who championed the referendum, and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK).

Less than three weeks after the vote, federal forces moved in to oust PUK forces that were controlling the disputed province of Kirkuk.

The provincial governor, who had supported the KDP-backed referendum, took to the airwaves to call people to arms -- even as PUK forces withdrew without a fight.

Iraqi President Fuad Masum, a PUK member, blamed the referendum for triggering the assault on Kirkuk, whose rich oil resources would have been essential to the survival of a Kurdish state.

Barzani, who stepped down shortly after the poll, indirectly accused the PUK of "high treason" for withdrawing.

The episode exposed the deep split between the two parties that dominate Kurdish politics.

- KDP upbeat -

Despite the backlash sparked by the referendum, the fact that three million Kurds voted for independence will have major implications for the election, according to Adel Bakawan, director general of the Kurdistan centre of sociology at Soran University near Arbil.

"By portraying themselves as victims of an international and regional system that prevents the Kurds entering history by founding their state, the separatists are hoping to win back those votes," he said.

The KDP has already reaped the rewards of its separatist stance, winning 25 seats in May elections to the Iraqi national parliament, making it the top party from the Kurdistan region, he said.

Party officials are upbeat.

"All the signs indicate that the KDP will dominate and win by a landslide" on Sunday, said Sobhi al-Mandalawi, a high-ranking party member in Arbil.

The stranglehold the two heavyweights have over Kurdish politics means smaller parties are excluded from decision-making, Bakawan said.

That has created distrust that could prompt record levels of abstention, he said.

That will likely prolong the PDK's grip on power, according to Abdulrazaq Sharif of the Goran (Change) movement, set up in 2009 to challenge the monopoly of the two main parties, which it accuses of corruption.

"Goran wants to see Kurds play a real role in the central government," he said.

Wahid Kurdi, a 57-year-old former Peshmerga fighter from Arbil, said the regional government's key priority should be the wellbeing of "Kurds who are suffering in Kirkuk" and other disputed areas.

"Once they're in parliament, MPs must not forget the disputed zones," he said. "They should work to bring them back inside the borders of Kurdistan."

Iraqi Kurds voted on Sunday for a new parliament in their autonomous region, which is mired in an economic crisis a year after an independence referendum that infuriated Baghdad.

Almost 3.1 million voters were eligible to cast ballots across three provinces in the northern region, where 673 candidates from 29 political movements contested seats in the 111-member parliament.

Polling closed as scheduled at 1500 GMT and the results are expected within 72 hours.

The vote passed off with only minor incidents such as gunmen trying to vote without the necessary papers.

The electoral commission gave an official turnout of 58 percent of registered voters in Arbil, the regional capital and one of the three provinces which make up Iraqi Kurdistan.

The figures were 53 percent for Sulaymaniyah and 61 percent in Dohuk.

The commission gave no overall figure but early indications pointed to a modest turnout following a campaign that aroused little enthusiasm.

The vote in Kurdistan came as Iraq struggles to form a new government after a nationwide parliamentary poll held in May.

On Monday, the federal parliament in Baghdad is due to elect the president of the country.

Iraq's Kurds have been a key US partner in the war against the Islamic State (IS) jihadist group and had hoped their role would boost international support for statehood.

But a massive "yes" vote in the September 2017 referendum for independence, deemed illegal by Iraq's federal government, backfired on the oil-rich autonomous Kurdish region.

Baghdad imposed economic penalties and sent federal troops to push Kurdish forces out of oil fields vital for the region's economy, depriving it of a key lifeline.

In another blow, Iraq's parliament in March passed a budget that saw Kurdistan's slice of the federal budget drop from 17 percent to 12.6 percent.

This election must "start a new chapter" in relations between Kurdistan and Baghdad, said 26-year-old Hawzar Salar as he cast his ballot in the regional capital Arbil.

The vote, he said, follows "the problems caused by the referendum and the war against the Islamic State group."

- From boom to bust -

Kurdistan had enjoyed an economic boom after the 2003 US-led invasion of Iraq that toppled veteran dictator Saddam Hussein, as the rest of the country sank into violence.

But the emergence of IS in 2014 coupled with tumbling oil prices battered the region's economy.

Since 2014, Iraqi Kurdistan has borrowed more than $4 billion to stay afloat, according to some experts, and before the doomed referendum it had chalked up debt of around $12 billion.

According to official figures, 87 percent of households across the region, home to around six million people, eke out a living on less than $850 per month.

"The future authorities must look after the people, especially the poor," added Soran Rassul, an unemployed man who voted in Sulaimaniyah, Kurdistan's second city.

Another voter, Hikmet Hakim, agreed.

"We demand from the new government security and that they deal well with the economic situation," said the 49-year-old, who wore traditional clothes as he cast his vote in Sulaimaniyah.

Experts say the election is not expected to change the political map in Kurdistan, but could shed light on the divisions that emerged after the 2017 referendum.

- Traditional rivals -

Parties that have long held sway are set to come out on top yet again.

The outgoing parliament and government are dominated by the Kurdistan Democratic Party of veteran leader and former president Massud Barzani, who championed the referendum vote.

The KDP currently holds 38 seats, while its traditional rival, the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK), has 18.

The main opposition Goran (Change) party has 24 seats in the outgoing parliament.

Only one new political party competed in Sunday's poll: the New Generation movement, founded in 2018 to channel public anger at the region's elite.

"We need a strong parliament that will work to set up a Kurdish state and a modern and democratic society," said voter Karouan Abu Bakr, 42.

Eleven seats in the Iraqi Kurdish parliament are reserved for religious and ethnic minorities: five for Turkmen candidates, five for Christians and one for the Armenian community.


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THE STANS
Still smarting from referendum, Iraqi Kurds to elect new parliament
Arbil, Iraq (AFP) Sept 27, 2018
Voters in Iraq's Kurdistan elect a new parliament Sunday, with the autonomous region mired in an economic crisis a year after an independence referendum that backfired disastrously. Despite deep discontent and divisions, there appears to be little prospect of a major political shakeup as the region grapples with the fallout from the controversial poll last September. "The Kurds lost so much with that referendum," said shop owner Omar Karim, 62, in the region's second city Sulaymaniyah. "Thi ... read more

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