. Military Space News .
Launch boosts NKorea missile programme, security threat limited

AFP file image.
by Staff Writers
Seoul (AFP) April 5, 2009
Sunday's rocket launch will give North Korea's missile programme a big boost if proven to have been successful but it does not immediately make the world a more dangerous place, analysts say.

The nuclear-armed communist North said the launch successfully put into orbit a communications satellite which is now broadcasting songs in praise of its past and present revolutionary leaders.

The United States said it used a Taepodong-2 -- a three-stage missile capable of reaching Alaska or Hawaii at maximum range -- as the launch vehicle.

Washington and other critics say the satellite launch was cover for a ballistic missile test which was illegal under UN resolutions.

Tokyo said the first booster stage was believed to have dropped west of Japan and the second stage into the Pacific Ocean.

The Seoul government said it was too early to say whether a satellite was launched, although one expert said it probably was.

"Judging from the trajectory, the rocket was apparently used to put a satellite into orbit as the North has claimed," said Baek Seung-Joo of the Korea Institute for Defence Analyses.

"Today's launch should be called a success, especially when we compare it with the 2006 test," he told AFP. The first Taepodong-2 test in July 2006 failed after 40 seconds when the rocket blew up.

"This is a big step forward for the North's missile technology," Baek said. It will certainly help attract foreign customers who want to buy its missiles."

In comments before the launch, Christian Le Miere, Jane's Intelligence Review editor, said a successful three-stage launch would be "a major step forward" -- the first demonstration that the North can develop an inter-continental missile.

However, Le Miere told AFP-TV, the launch would not show that the North can deliver a warhead on top of the rocket.

Expert David Wright, in an article in The Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, also said a successful satellite launch "wouldn't necessarily demonstrate the ability to launch a nuclear warhead to intercontinental range.

"Modifications to increase the capability of the launcher pose both material and manufacturing challenges that North Korea may have yet to overcome."

The International Crisis Group (ICG), in a report last week, said even a successful test-launch would only slightly heighten security risks.

The Brussels-based group urged the world not to over-react, saying any "overblown" response could wreck nuclear disarmament talks and strengthen hardliners in Pyongyang.

It said the Taepodong-2 missile does not pose a significantly increased risk to Japan, since the North's tested and apparently reliable Rodong missile can already carry a nuclear warhead as far as Tokyo.

The report quoted intelligence sources as saying such warheads are believed to have been assembled for the Rodong.

"The Taepodong-2 could possibly reach Alaska but the likelihood of such a strike is negligible, since the North knows it would be devastated in any response," the ICG said.

"The launch of a Taepodong-2 also takes weeks to prepare; in a time of considerable tensions the missile could be destroyed on the (launch) pad."

Local experts said last week the launch was likely to succeed due to technical cooperation with Iran, which launched its own communications satellite on February 2 with a domestically-made rocket.

Share This Article With Planet Earth
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit
YahooMyWebYahooMyWeb GoogleGoogle FacebookFacebook



Related Links
Learn about nuclear weapons doctrine and defense at SpaceWar.com
Learn about missile defense at SpaceWar.com
All about missiles at SpaceWar.com
Learn about the Superpowers of the 21st Century at SpaceWar.com



Memory Foam Mattress Review
Newsletters :: SpaceDaily :: SpaceWar :: TerraDaily :: Energy Daily
XML Feeds :: Space News :: Earth News :: War News :: Solar Energy News


North Korea launch called 'reckless', 'provocative'
Tokyo (AFP) April 5, 2009
North Korea's rocket launch Sunday rattled all of East Asia and US President Barack Obama led global condemnation of what he called an attempt to provoke trouble.







  • Analysis: Wanted: Future NATO chief
  • Old Russia, role tenions still haunt NATO: experts
  • Analysis: France rejoins NATO
  • French, German cities head into NATO summit turbulence

  • China's Korean War vets uneasy over rocket launch
  • Obama seeks nuclear-free world on Europe charm tour
  • As NKorea launches rocket, its people go hungry
  • China's leverage on North Korea limited: analysts

  • Raytheon Standard Missile-2 Destroys Target
  • Indian tests cruise missile: official
  • US says warships deployed before NKorea launch
  • NKorea may launch several missiles: US general

  • BMD Watch: China targets U.S. carriers
  • Czechs don't expect US to scrap missile shield plans
  • Israeli Very-Short-Range Anti-Ballistic Missile Interceptor System Fails Part Four
  • US, SKorea, Japan coordinate on NKorea launch

  • Airlines fear failure of global climate talks
  • State takes control of China's first private airline: report
  • Troubled private Chinese airline says president missing
  • Cathay Pacific lost 1.1 billion dollars in 2008

  • Pakistan to discuss drone attacks with US envoy: spokesman
  • NKorea threatens US spy planes monitoring rocket
  • Israeli drones attacked Iranian convoys in Sudan: report
  • Washington plans new drone attacks on Pakistan: report

  • Dogs of War: Immunity, what immunity?
  • Iraq improving, but challenges remain
  • US, Iraq race to keep extremism at bay in north
  • Analysis: New terror-group tactics in Iraq

  • Thompson Files: Marines triumph with EFV
  • Outside View: Why F-22 is vital -- Part 14
  • Why The F-22 Is Vital Part 13
  • Why The F-22 Is Vital Part 12

  • The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2007 - SpaceDaily.AFP and UPI Wire Stories are copyright Agence France-Presse and United Press International. ESA Portal Reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement,agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by SpaceDaily on any Web page published or hosted by SpaceDaily. Privacy Statement