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NATO eyes Russia's Ukraine buildup amid invasion fears By Max DELANY Riga (AFP) Nov 30, 2021
NATO foreign ministers will meet on Tuesday to discuss how to counter a Russian military build-up on Ukraine's border amid fears the Kremlin could be preparing to invade. The long-scheduled gathering in Latvia's capital Riga comes at a volatile moment on NATO's eastern flank as allies also grapple with a migrant crisis the West says is fuelled by Kremlin-backed Belarus. Western countries spearheaded by the United States worry that Moscow could be planning an incursion into Ukraine after accusing the Kremlin of massing forces close to the frontier. "There is not clarity about the Russian intentions but there is an unusual concentration of forces for the second time this year," NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg told AFP during a visit to alliance forces in Latvia. "We see heavy armour, drones, electronic warfare systems and tens of thousands of combat-ready troops." Moscow, which seized Crimea from Ukraine in 2014 and backs separatists fighting Kiev, has strongly denied it is plotting an attack and blames NATO for fuelling tensions. NATO diplomats say the bloc remains uncertain of Russian President Vladimir Putin's intentions -- but ministers will discuss contingency plans should Russia invade. The US-led alliance is looking to show the Kremlin it faces severe costs if it threatens Ukraine, while stopping short of provoking Moscow into further aggression. Officials expect talks on additional support for Ukraine's military and potentially strengthening NATO forces arrayed along its eastern wing. But they point out that NATO-aspirant Ukraine -- which will have its foreign minister at the two-day meeting -- is not covered by the alliance's collective defence pact. "We want to leave no question in people's minds that there will be severe consequences, strategic consequences for Russia, if it pursues the kind of path that we fear it may be on," a senior US official said. "It's a question of finding the right signals and the right deterrent posture that in fact leads to a de-escalation rather than an escalation." US President Joe Biden on Friday said he was likely to speak to the leaders of Russia or Ukraine in a push to defuse the rising tensions. - 'Hybrid attack' - The growing fears around Ukraine come as NATO members Poland, Lithuania and Latvia have faced another threat coming from the east that will be high on the agenda in Riga. They accuse Moscow's ally Belarus of funnelling thousands of mainly Middle Eastern migrants to their borders in a "hybrid attack" as retribution for EU sanctions against Minsk. President Alexander Lukashenko rejects the claim. NATO has expressed "solidarity" with its eastern members but has largely been left on the sidelines as the threat level floats in a grey zone just short of actual aggression. Poland's President Andrzej Duda mooted increasing NATO force numbers deployed on its eastern flanks at a meeting with Stoltenberg last week. But a move to trigger emergency consultations under article 4 of the alliance's founding treaty appears to have been put on hold for now. Speaking on a joint tour of the Baltics on Sunday, Stoltenberg and EU chief Ursula von der Leyen pledged to step up cooperation against such challenges. Border tensions have eased slightly as some migrants have begun returning to Iraq, but Warsaw and Vilnius insist the crisis is far from over. "There can be no doubt that Lukashenko's regime and the forces that support it will continue to test the Western world's unity and their ability to react," Lithuanian President Gitanas Nauseda said.
Ukraine urges swift action to 'deter' Russian invasion Western countries have raised the alarm this month over reported Russian military activity near Ukraine, with the United States saying it has "real concerns" over a new troop build-up on the border. "It's better to act now, not later" to "deter Russia", Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba said at a briefing for foreign media. "What we are seeing is very serious. Russia has deployed a large military force in regions close to Ukraine's state border." He said that Moscow has massed 115,000 troops around Ukraine, on the Crimean peninsula -- which Russia annexed in 2014 -- and in two eastern regions occupied by pro-Russian separatists. Tanks, artillery, electronic warfare systems and air and naval forces had also been deployed, he added. "If Russia decides to undertake a military operation, things will happen in literally the blink of an eye," the foreign minister told reporters. But he added that Ukraine, whose army has become "incomparably stronger" than when breakaway fighters in 2014 seized the Donetsk and Lugansk regions in a simmering conflict that has claimed more than 13,000 lives, would "fight back". Kiev and its Western allies accuse Russia of sending troops and arms to support the separatists, claims Moscow denies. After an uptick in violence at the beginning of the year, Russia massed around 100,000 troops on Ukraine's borders in the spring, raising fears of a major escalation. Russia later announced a pullback but both Ukraine and its ally the United States said at the time the withdrawal was limited. Ukraine, the United States, NATO and the European Union have raised the alarm about new Russian troop movements in recent weeks and warned about a possible invasion. Moscow has dismissed the claims, accused Kiev of "provocations" and blamed Washington for escalating tensions in the region. In Washington, a top Pentagon planning official called Russian troop movements "a continuing concern" and pledged support for Ukraine forces, but downplayed any expectation of a direct US military intervention. "We continue to see movement, we continue to see additions to their to their forces" near the Ukrainian border, said Mara Karlin, who is serving as Deputy Under Secretary of Defense for Policy. "We're watching it very closely," she told reporters, adding: "We don't envision any US military intervention in this conflict."
Ukraine urges swift action to 'deter' Russian invasion Kiev (AFP) Nov 29, 2021 Ukraine called for swift action on Monday to "deter" its Soviet-era master Moscow from invasion, saying that a Russian military operation could be launched "in the blink of an eye". Western countries have raised the alarm this month over reported Russian military activity near Ukraine, with the United States saying it has "real concerns" over a new troop build-up on the border. "It's better to act now, not later" to "deter Russia", Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba said at a briefing for ... read more
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