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Russia invades Ukraine, dozens killed
By Dave Clark, with Thibaut Marchand in Chuguiv, Ukraine
Kyiv (AFP) Feb 24, 2022

Despite West's help, Ukraine forces vastly outnumbered by Russia
Paris (AFP) Feb 24, 2022 - Ukraine's armed forces find themselves vastly outnumbered and outmatched in firepower by their Russian opponents, despite growing military assistance for Kyiv's troops by the West.

Russian President Vladimir Putin, whose country had massed some 150,000 troops on the border in recent months, on Thursday ordered military operations against Ukraine.

There are also, according to Western estimates, some 30,000 Russian troops deployed in Belarus, ostensibly for exercises, who could also attack Ukraine from the north.

And Russia has massed naval forces in the Black Sea and closed to navigation the Sea of Azov between Russia and Ukraine.

According to the London-based International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS), Russia's armed forces amount to 900,000 troops, plus some two million reserves and more than half a million other forces.

Ukraine's forces meanwhile amount to barely more than the number of troops Russia had amassed around its borders, with a standing army of 145,000, 45,000 in the air force and 11,000 in the navy, according to the IISS.

It has some 100,000 other forces and 900,000 reserve soldiers.

Analysts also note that the gulf in firepower is even wider in terms of military hardware, with Russia's almost 16,000 armoured fighting vehicles -- including tanks -- dwarfing the Ukrainian fleet of 3,300.

Artillery numbers show a similar difference, while the Ukrainian air force is a tenth the size of its Russian counterpart.

"The military balance of power is totally overwhelming" in favour of Moscow, said Francois Heisbourg, special advisor to the Foundation for Strategic Research (FRS) in Paris.

- 'Firmly against Ukraine' -

Ukraine has benefited from substantial Western military aid since the onset of the conflict in its east from 2014, including $2.5 billion worth from the United States, $400 million of that in 2021 alone.

Until the current tensions erupted, some US troops had been training Ukrainian forces to use American equipment, notably light weaponry, patrol vessels and Javelin anti-tank missiles.

Britain has also been involved in training Ukrainian troops for several years and in January said it was sending offensive anti-armour weaponry to Ukraine, the first time it has supplied lethal arms to the country.

But Russia's armed forces have also undergone significant reforms in recent years, following the military's perceived lacklustre performance in the 2008 conflict with Georgia.

The reform "has made Russia a far more capable military power today than at any time since the dissolution of the Soviet Union", IISS analysts said.

Commanders have also been able to garner valuable experience in war theatres notably during the Russian deployment of troops in Syria to support Bashar al-Assad's regime.

Analysts at the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) said in a report earlier this month that Ukraine's air defences were "woefully deficient" both in terms of quality and quantity.

Meanwhile the country also faces the problem of sharing a land border of almost 2,000 kilometres (1,250 miles) with Russia, most of which is exposed to attack, and a 1,000-kilometre border with Moscow's ally Belarus.

"The conventional military balance is stacked firmly against Ukraine," the RUSI analysts said.

Ukraine has also been the target of repeated cyberattacks which the West has blamed on Russia and experts say have the potential to cripple the country.

But the RUSI analysts also noted that the "threat of unconventional resistance" should concern Moscow, which would want to avoid a drawn-out and bloody conflict especially in urban centres.

Russian President Vladimir Putin launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine on Thursday, unleashing air strikes and sending troops deep into the country in unrest that Ukrainian authorities said left dozens dead.

The attack triggered Western warnings of unprecedented economic action against Russia as NATO and the EU condemned the invasion, while the G7 agreed on "devastating packages of sanctions".

Weeks of intense diplomacy failed to deter Putin, who massed over 150,000 troops on Ukraine's borders in what the West said was the biggest military build-up in Europe since World War II.

"I have decided to proceed with a special military operation," Putin said in a televised address before dawn on Thursday.

Shortly afterwards, the first bombardments were heard in Ukraine's capital, Kyiv, and several other cities, according to AFP correspondents.

Following a day of intense violence, the site of the Chernobyl nuclear disaster fell to Russia.

Russian airstrikes hit military installations across the country as ground forces moved in from the north, south and east, forcing many Ukrainians to flee their homes to the sounds of bombing.

The country's defence ministry said Moscow's forces had "successfully completed" their objectives for the day.

Olena Kurilo was among 20 wounded after a blast sent shards of glass from her windows in the eastern Ukrainian town of Chuguiv.

"Never, under any conditions will I submit to Putin. It is better to die," the 52-year-old teacher said, her face swathed in bandages.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said there was now a "new iron curtain" between Russia and the rest of the world, like in the Cold War.

US President Joe Biden said that the G7 group of wealthy nations had agreed to impose "devastating" economic sanctions on Russia over the invasion.

"We agreed to move forward on devastating packages of sanctions and other economic measures to hold Russia to account. We stand with the brave people of Ukraine," Biden tweeted.

Biden was expected to give a speech at 1830 GMT.

- Fall of Chernobyl -

Across Ukraine, at least 68 people were killed, including both soldiers and civilians, according to an AFP tally from Ukrainian official sources.

Air raid sirens sounded over Kyiv at the break of dawn after the city's main airport was hit in the first bombing of the city since World War II.

The city declared an overnight curfew but said underground stations would remain open throughout to serve as bomb shelters.

Ukraine said that Russian forces had managed to capture an airfield near Kyiv and that Chernobyl in northern Ukraine -- site of the world's worst nuclear disaster -- had fallen to Moscow's forces.

Zelensky called the attack on Chernobyl -- a vast area that has been abandoned since the disaster because of continued high levels of radioactivity -- "a declaration of war on all of Europe".

In the deadliest single strike reported by Ukrainian authorities, 18 people were killed at a military base near the Black Sea port of Odessa.

Ukraine's emergency services also said a military plane with 14 people on board crashed south of Kyiv and that they were determining how many people died.

Ukrainian forces said they had killed "around 50 Russian occupiers" while repulsing an attack on a town on the frontline with Moscow-backed rebels, a toll that could not immediately be confirmed by AFP.

- 'Significant economic risk' -

In the Ukrainian village of Starognativka near the frontline where separatists have faced off against Kyiv's forces, official Vladimir Vesyelkin said missiles had rained down since the morning and power was out.

"They are trying to wipe the village off the face of the earth," he said.

Russia's defence ministry said it had destroyed over 70 military targets, including 11 airfields.

Ukraine said Russian tanks and heavy armour crossed the border in several northern regions, in the east as well as from the Kremlin-annexed peninsula of Crimea in the south.

The fighting spooked global financial markets, with stocks plunging and oil prices soaring past $100.

IMF chief Kristalina Georgieva said the unrest carried "significant economic risk" for the world, but Putin insisted he did not seek to undermine the global economic system.

- 'Crime against humanity' -

In his televised address, Putin justified the assault as a defence of the self-proclaimed Donetsk and Lugansk republics in eastern Ukraine.

The Kremlin earlier said the leaders of the two separatist territories had asked Moscow for military help against Kyiv after Putin recognised their independence on Monday.

A conflict between the separatists and government forces has dragged on since 2014, killing more than 14,000 people on both sides.

The OSCE's acting chairman, Polish Foreign Minister Zbigniew Rau, said the invasion was a "crime against humanity", and later the organisation said it was pulling its foreign staff from Ukraine.

NATO said it had activated "defence plans" for allied countries but alliance chief Jens Stoltenberg said there were no intentions to send NATO forces into Ukraine.

Russia has long demanded that Ukraine be forbidden from ever joining NATO and that US troops pull out from Eastern Europe.

In the Baltics, Lithuania declared a national emergency and Latvia banned three Russian TV channels that were broadcasting in the country, saying they posted a "threat to national security".

Demonstrators took to the streets of European capitals to condemn Russia but a small anti-war protest in Moscow was quickly shut down by police and monitors said over 700 people were detained.

'Unprovoked and unjustified:' world reacts to attack on Ukraine
Paris (AFP) Feb 24, 2022 - World leaders on Thursday condemned the Russian invasion of Ukraine, with Western capitals vowing to escalate sanctions against Moscow while the head of the United Nations demanded the conflict end immediately.

Key reactions:

- US President Joe Biden -

"The prayers of the entire world are with the people of Ukraine tonight as they suffer an unprovoked and unjustified attack by Russian military forces," Biden said shortly after the operation began.

He warned "Russia alone is responsible for the death and destruction this attack will bring."

"The world will hold Russia accountable," he declared.

- Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky -

Zelensky compared Russia's invasion of his country to Nazi Germany's military campaigns during World War II.

"Russia has attacked Ukraine in a cowardly and suicidal way, like Nazi Germany did during World War II," Zelensky said in an online briefing.

- China -

Foreign Minister Wang Yi told his Russian counterpart Sergei Lavrov in a phone call that China understands "Russia's reasonable concerns on security issues", China's foreign ministry said.

The foreign ministry repeatedly declined to call the attack an "invasion" at a press briefing on Thursday.

- UN chief Antonio Guterres -

Guterres made a direct and personal plea to Russian President Vladimir Putin after an emergency Security Council session, urging him to stop the attack "in the name of humanity."

"Do not allow to start in Europe what could be the worst war since the beginning of the century," he said.

"The conflict must stop now," added the UN chief, who said it was the "saddest day" of his tenure.

- NATO head Jens Stoltenberg -

The Atlantic alliance's secretary general said Russia had "chosen the path of aggression against a sovereign and independent country."

The attack "puts at risk countless civilian lives," Stoltenberg said in a statement, describing it as a "grave breach of international law, and a serious threat to Euro-Atlantic security."

NATO ambassadors were to hold an emergency meeting to discuss the attack.

- British Prime Minister Boris Johnson -

"I am appalled by the horrific events in Ukraine and I have spoken to President Zelensky to discuss next steps," the British leader tweeted.

In an address to the nation, Johnson later called Putin a "dictator" facing "massive" sanctions for his "attack on democracy and freedom in east Europe and around the world."

- EU chiefs -

"In these dark hours, our thoughts are with Ukraine and the innocent women, men and children as they face this unprovoked attack and fear for their lives," European Union chiefs Ursula von der Leyen and Charles Michel said on Twitter.

"We will hold the Kremlin accountable," they added.

Foreign policy chief Josep Borrell said Russia faced "unprecedented isolation" and would face the "harshest sanctions" the EU has ever imposed.

"This is not a question of blocs. This is not a question of diplomatic power games. It's a matter of life and death," he said.

- German Chancellor Olaf Scholz -

The German leader lashed out at an "unscrupulous act" and spoke to Zelensky to express his country's "full solidarity."

Putin is "endangering the lives of countless innocent people in Ukraine... (and) jeopardising peace in our continent," Scholz said.

- French President Emmanuel Macron -

Macron said Russia's "act of war" was a "turning point in the history of Europe" with "deep and lasting consequences for our lives" in an address to the nation.

He said the G7, NATO and the European Union would be "without weakness" when they meet to agree sanctions later on Thursday, after Moscow inflicted "the most significant damage on peace and stability in Europe for decades."

- Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau -

Trudeau condemned Russia's "egregious" and "unprovoked" attack on Ukraine as "a clear further violation of Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity" and of Russia's obligations under international law.

"These reckless and dangerous acts will not go unpunished," he said in a statement.

- OSCE -

The Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe, of which Russia is a member, denounced the move in a statement.

It said the attack "puts the lives of millions of people at grave risk and is a gross breach of international law and Russia's commitments."

- Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida -

"The latest Russian invasion shakes the foundation of the international order, which does not permit unilateral attempts to change the status quo," Japan's leader said after a meeting of his national security council.

- Italian Prime Minister Mario Draghi -

The leader of G7 member Italy's government called Russia's invasion "unjustified and unjustifiable."

"Italy is close to the Ukrainian people and institutions in this dramatic moment," Draghi said in a statement.

- Turkey -

Turkey, a NATO member with friendly ties with Ukraine and Russia, said the invasion was "unjust and unlawful" in a foreign ministry statement.

President Recep Tayyip Erdogan denounced Moscow's move as a "heavy blow" to regional peace and stability.


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SUPERPOWERS
NATO activating 'defence plans' for allies as Russia invades Ukraine
Brussels (AFP) Feb 24, 2022
NATO is activating its "defence plans" for allied countries as Russia attacks non-NATO member Ukraine, alliance chief Jens Stoltenberg told a media conference on Thursday. Stoltenberg also confirmed that NATO will hold a video summit on Friday to discuss the Russian invasion of its pro-Western neighbour. And he reiterated that NATO had no "plans" to send alliance troops to Ukraine. It is the first time the alliance has publicly said it is activating its defence plans, which were drawn up aft ... read more

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