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 By Jonathan BROWN Moscow (AFP) Feb 4, 2022
Russia won China's backing in its showdown with the West over Ukraine on Friday, as Beijing agreed with Moscow that the US-led NATO military alliance should not admit new members. The demand for NATO to stop expanding came after a meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping in Beijing that saw Putin hail the two countries' "dignified relationship". In a long strategy document, Moscow and Beijing hit out at what they said was Washington's destabilising role in global security. "The parties oppose the further expansion of NATO and call on the North Atlantic Alliance to abandon the ideological approaches of the Cold War era," the document read, urging respect for the "sovereignty, security and interests of other countries." The call echoes demands from Russia that have been at the centre of weeks of intensive negotiations between Moscow and the West, under the shadow of a potential conflict. NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg hit back at the Russo-Chinese claims. "This is fundamentally not about NATO expansion. This is about respecting the right of every sovereign nation to choose their own path," he told MSNBC's Morning Joe. Western capitals have accused Russia of amassing some 100,000 troops on the borders of pro-Western Ukraine in preparation for an invasion and have vowed to impose devastating sanctions on Moscow if it attacks. The document released by Beijing and Moscow Friday also set out criticisms of Washington's "negative impact on peace and stability" in the Asia-Pacific region. Russia and China also said they were "seriously concerned" by the AUKUS defence alliance including Australia, the UK and the United States. German Chancellor Olaf Scholz was the latest European leader to announce a visit to the region on Friday, saying he would go to Ukraine on February 14 and Russia the next day. Later Friday, the first US soldiers of the 3,000 announced by President Joe Biden this week arrived in Germany at the Wiesbaden military base. The US is sending 2,000 troops stationed in the US. They are being flown to Germany and Poland. Another 1,000 already in Germany are being sent to Romania. - 'Delusional' false flag claims - French President Emmanuel Macron will visit Moscow on Monday and Kyiv on Tuesday for talks with his Russian and Ukrainian counterparts. Putin's meeting with Xi -- hours ahead of the opening ceremony of the Winter Olympic Games -- came after the United States said it had evidence of a plan by Moscow to film a fake Ukrainian attack on Russians to justify an attack on its neighbour. Pentagon spokesperson John Kirby said the US had "information that the Russians are likely to want to fabricate a pretext for an invasion", but did not provide evidence. Russia, which has repeatedly denied any invasion plans, said the US claims were absurd. "The delusional nature of such fabrications -- and there are more and more of them every day -- is obvious," Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said. Washington's claim came on the back of visits from European leaders to shore up their backing for Kyiv, including from British Prime Minister Boris Johnson and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. Ukraine's Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba on Friday welcomed the displays of support, saying they had prevented Russia from "further aggravating the security situation". - 'Intimidation strategy' - "Our partners believe in Ukraine and that means Moscow's intimidation strategy is not working. Russia has lost this round," Kuleba said. During Erdogan's visit Thursday he and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky signed an agreement expanding the production of parts in Ukraine for a Turkish combat drone whose sale to Kyiv has angered Moscow. Erdogan has tried to position Turkey, which is a member of NATO, as a neutral mediator close to both Moscow and Kyiv. Following his trip, Erdogan accused the West of making the crisis "worse". "Unfortunately, the West until now has not made any contribution to resolving this issue," he said in comments published by local media Friday. "They are only making things worse," Erdogan said, adding that Joe Biden "has not yet been able to demonstrate a positive approach". Russia's relationship with the West was severely damaged in 2014 when it annexed the Crimean peninsula from Ukraine and threw its political weight behind armed separatists in the east the country. Nearly eight years of fighting between Kyiv and the pro-Moscow fighters have cost more than 13,000 lives and seen the West and Russia exchange waves of tit-for-tat sanctions. In the most recent diplomatic flare-up, Putin has demanded guarantees that Ukraine will not join NATO and has implicitly threatened the former Soviet state with the massive military build-up. Russia also wants NATO and the United States to foreswear the deployment of missile systems near Russia's borders and to pull back NATO forces in eastern Europe. These tensions have been aggravated by plans for joint military exercises between Russia and neighbouring Belarus, where Washington claims Moscow is preparing to send 30,000 troops.
The Russia-NATO war of words over Ukraine - No-go: NATO expansion - In draft treaties for the Americans and NATO in December, Russia demanded that the US prevent eastward expansion of NATO into any former Soviet countries like Ukraine. NATO's response, leaked to Spanish newspaper El Pais this week, showed that the alliance is sticking to its "open door policy". It insists on "all states respecting the right of other states to choose or change security arrangements" and demanded Russian troops withdraw from Crimea, annexed from Ukraine in 2014, as well as parts of Georgia and Moldova. President Vladimir Putin has in turn slated the "unwillingness of NATO to adequately respond to the well-founded Russian concerns". "You now have enough states in Scandinavia and Eastern Europe hostile to these Russian demands (to be) able to block any progress on any of this," Alexander Clarkson of King's College London told AFP. "They completely correctly, in their own self-interest, will not let the Americans or the other EU states... cede towards the Russians," he added. - 'Indivisible security' - NATO's language on security arrangements is drawn word-for-word from past agreements with Russia like the 1999 Charter for European Security. Meanwhile Moscow has justified its demands with those texts' commitments that signatories "will not strengthen their security at the expense of the security of other states". "The US and NATO responses to our proposals... demonstrate serious differences in the understanding of the principle of equal and indivisible security," Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov wrote this month to the US and other NATO countries. That specific term appears to itself be a point of difference between the two sides. In its response to the Russian security demands, Washington had said it was "prepared for a discussion of the indivisibility of security -- and our respective interpretations of that concept". - Reducing conventional forces - Russia's draft agreement with NATO also included a clause that would ban NATO forces and weapons anywhere east of the alliance's position in 1997. That would cut out nations once dominated by the Soviet Union like Poland, the Czech Republic and the Baltic states. In response, NATO said Russia should return to the terms of the Treaty on Conventional Armed Forces in Europe (CFE) limiting equipment like tanks, artillery and helicopters, which it suspended in 2007. - Missiles - Russia suggested to the US that both nations should be banned from deploying short- or intermediate-range missiles outside their own territory, or within range of the other's territory. Washington said it was "prepared to begin discussion... on arms control" for such missiles. But it also said it was worried about Russian breaches of the Intermediate Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF) before it expired in 2019. That 1987 agreement banned both sides from having conventional or nuclear missiles with ranges between 500 and 5,500 kilometres (310-3,400 miles). The US is also "prepared to discuss... a transparency mechanism to confirm the absence of Tomahawk cruise missiles" at missile defence sites in Romania and Poland, Washington said -- although it demanded similar openness on two Russian bases. - Flashpoints - Besides the sorest points, both Russia and NATO are open to new steps to avoid unwanted military incidents -- so-called "de-confliction". That could include setting up hotlines between capitals and finding new ways to skirt clashes in the air and at sea, like advance warnings or limits on exercises. "Those documents do contain elements that can provide a basis for an off-ramp for the Russians, if they want to take it. And we can't know that," said Clarkson. But Bruno Tertrais of France's Foundation for Strategic Research warned that the West's position "has no concessions on the key principles" raised by Russia. If Moscow were to accept a limited agreement "it would be a major Russian about-face", he added.
Russia, China hit out at US influence in Europe and Asia Beijing (AFP) Feb 4, 2022 Moscow and Beijing criticised what they said was negative US influence both in Europe and the Asia-Pacific region after a Friday meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping. Putin and Xi met in Beijing ahead of the opening ceremony of the Winter Olympic Games, as both their countries face increasing criticism from Washington. A document agreed by Russia and China and released by the Kremlin said they "oppose the further expansion of NATO" and call on the ... read more
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