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IRAQ WARS
Secular strongman Allawi back on rungs of Iraq power

Iyad Allawi.

Iraq awaits vote results with top two blocs neck and neck
Baghdad (AFP) March 26, 2010 - Full results from Iraq's elections are due on Friday amid a tight race between sitting Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki and his main rival Iyad Allawi and fears of a nascent political crisis. Nearly three weeks after the March 7 parliamentary polls, the national election commission is set to release complete results, with the prolonged counting process fuelling allegations of fraud and vote manipulation. The results come around five months before the United States is due to withdraw all of its combat troops from Iraq, and Washington will be keen to see a smooth outcome from the election.

Iraq's Independent High Electoral Commission (IHEC) is set to publish the figures at a news conference at the Rasheed Hotel in Baghdad's heavily fortified Green Zone at 7pm (1600 GMT). Figures released by IHEC, based on 95 percent of ballots cast, put just 11,000 votes between Maliki's State of Law Alliance and Allawi's Iraqiya bloc. The two groups are on pace to garner 91 seats apiece in the 325-member Council of Representatives, according to an AFP calculation.

The list that forms the single largest group in parliament will be chosen by Iraq's president, who is elected by the legislature, to form a government. If it does not succeed within 30 days, another group will be selected, as per Iraq's constitution. However, no bloc is expected to win the 163 seats required to form a parliamentary majority, and protracted coalition building is likely. The Iraqi National Alliance, a coalition led by Shiite religious groups, and Kurdistania, comprised of the autonomous Kurdish region's two long-dominant parties, are expected take 68 and 42 seats respectively and will be major players in any talks on forming a government.

But tensions have been raised over allegations of fraud during the vote and the subsequent count, claims made most prominently by Maliki, who has cried foul and demanded a manual recount, warning that one was needed to "protect political stability... and prevent a return to violence." While electoral authorities have rebuffed the incumbent's request, State of Law has threatened not to recognise results it sees as tainted, potentially plunging Iraq into a major political crisis. State of Law has organised several demonstrations in recent days in predominantly Shiite provinces in the south, where it performed well in the parliamentary election.

Provincial council chiefs in 10 central and southern provinces, including Baghdad, who belong to the bloc also published a statement on Wednesday threatening "a major escalation" if Maliki's recount demand was not met. They did not elaborate. IHEC officials and Western diplomats downplayed allegations of fraud and pleaded for patience as the count continued. Security officials have warned that protracted coalition building could give insurgent groups and Al-Qaeda a chance to further destabilise Iraq.
by Staff Writers
Baghdad (AFP) March 26, 2010
Iraq's former premier Iyad Allawi, who once plotted a CIA-backed coup against Saddam Hussein, is within reach of clambering back to power after the war-torn country's March 7 election.

The British-trained doctor, 64, was provisionally appointed prime minister by Washington in June 2004 and led a transitional government for just under a year.

Allawi, a Shiite, had been a member of Saddam's now-banned Baath party until 1971 but fell foul of the executed dictator and went into exile in Britain, where Iraqi agents tried to murder him.

His Iraqiya list includes several Sunni parties, including the National Dialogue Front of Saleh al-Mutlak, who was barred from taking part in the poll separately over his alleged Baathist links.

In an interview with AFP before the election, Allawi denounced the commission that banned more than 500 candidates allegedly linked to Saddam before their reinstatement, as well as the United States for joining the row.

"We reject... interference in the work of institutions and we reject actions that bring into question the principle of sovereignty and respect for the constitution," he said at the time.

In his most recent comments, Allawi told the BBC on Saturday that his priority would be to "purge the armed forces and secret services of sectarian elements" if he should form Iraq's next government.

The police force was "riddled with sectarianism," he charged, pinning much of the blame on Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki with whom he said he would refuse to work in a coalition unless he changed his outlook.

Allawi had called for a probe into the vote's organisers after casting his ballot on March 7, accusing them of lax procedures and demanding an accurate recount.

"I'd like to record my objection to the performance of the IHEC (Independent High Electoral Commission)," he said in comments broadcast on Al-Sharqiya television channel.

But those comments came well before the results started to swing his way.

The neurosurgeon turned politician won credibility during his interim term as premier for ruthlessly facing down the insurgency despite widespread corruption allegations.

Yet his unflinching support for US military campaigns against Sunni and Shiite insurgents in Fallujah and Najaf left him with few friends there.

His image of tough leadership was dented by attacks during campaigning for December 2005 elections in the holy city of Najaf, when he came under a hail of shoes and tomatoes.

He later charged it had been an assassination attempt.

It would not have been the first. In 2005, he thanked the Lebanese Shiite secular movement Amal for thwarting an assassination attempt against him during a visit to Lebanon.

However, his most famous escape came in 1978, when an assailant, probably sent by Saddam, attacked him with an axe and left him for dead during his London exile.

Allawi has excellent political and family credentials. His grandfather helped negotiate Iraq's independence from the British in the 1930s, and an uncle was health minister under the old monarchy, which fell in 1958.

An uncle on his mother's side was prime minister of Lebanon in 1973.

But this pedigree also comes with the baggage of a long exile and links to former Baathists, not to mention the CIA, which have made many Iraqis suspicious of Allawi.

In 1991, together with former Iraqi military and Baathists, Allawi formed the Iraqi National Accord, under CIA tutelage, which staged an unsuccessful coup against Saddam in 1996.

Allawi launched his broad secular Iraqiya alliance in January this year to contest the March election.

"We have a feeling of victory and pride because other political coalitions gave up the way of the nation, which left us marginalised, excluded and persecuted," he said at the time.



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