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The Limits Of Soft Power Part Five

US House Speaker Pelosi in China
US House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi, a longtime critic of Beijing's rule over Tibet and its rights record, arrived in China on Sunday for a trip focused on energy and climate change. US embassy spokeswoman Susan Stevenson confirmed Pelosi had arrived in Shanghai but could not say who the top US official was going to meet in the country's financial hub. Pelosi is scheduled to attend a clean energy forum in Beijing on Tuesday along with Senator John Kerry, the chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee. Other details of her itinerary were not immediately known. Kerry on Sunday arrived in Xi'an, the capital of the northern province of Shaanxi, where he was holding official meetings and visiting the country's famed Terracotta Warriors, Stevenson said. He will travel to Tianjin, a large city near Beijing, on Monday to do some clean energy-related work before heading to China's capital for the forum with Pelosi, she added. Before her trip, Pelosi -- who is leading a delegation from a key energy and environment committee -- declined to say whether she would press Beijing on rights ahead of the 20th anniversary of the bloody Tiananmen Square crackdown. "The purpose of the trip is to follow up on meetings we've had here with the representatives of the Chinese government on the subject of climate change and energy and how that relates to our economy," the Democratic lawmaker said. Pelosi has been a vocal critic of China's rule of Tibet, drawing the wrath of Beijing, which resents foreign interference in its internal affairs, and led US congressional condemnation of the June 4, 1989 Tiananmen crackdown. In March last year, when riots against Chinese rule erupted in the Tibetan capital Lhasa and then spread to nearby provinces, Pelosi urged "freedom-loving people" in the world to "speak out against China's oppression in Tibet". And in October, she commended the European Parliament for its "bold decision" to award the Sakharov Prize for Freedom of Thought to Chinese human rights activist Hu Jia. But Jia Qingguo, a professor at the School of International Studies at Peking University, said Pelosi's visit highlighted an improvement in relations between China and the United States. "She has always been quite tough on Chinese policy, so her visit definitely shows that the two countries' relations are in a stable state," he said. Pelosi, who will be meeting with her counterpart Wu Bangguo during her visit, is due to stay in China until May 31. (AFP Report) Photo courtesy of AFP.
by Paolo Liebl Von Schirach
Washington (UPI) May 22, 2009
Russia certainly needs the cash coming from its immense annual oil and gas exports, especially its natural gas exports to the 27-nation European Union. Russian President Dmitry Medvedev and Prime Minister Vladimir Putin know that the nations of Europe would be crushed in a very short time without Russia's energy supplies.

Putin in particular has over the past decade repeatedly demonstrated his personal mastery of the complexities of energy and economics, and under his direction the Russian energy-producing section has become the one indisputable success story in the otherwise problem-plagued Russian economy.

Russia is the world's second-largest exporter of oil and the world's largest combined exporter of oil and gas. Europe would be crushed in a very short time without Russia's energy supplies. In this context, sadly, Europe is militarily irrelevant and economically dependent. Thus Moscow simply ignores it. Which is to say that soft power alone, when dealing with a rather rough neighbor, may not do the trick.

The awareness of the absence of real means to counter Russia's aggression such as it exhibited in its five day conquest of one-third of the area of the former Soviet republic of Georgia in the Caucasus last year may be the reason behind a rather resigned European approach to the crisis.

The general European attitude can be summed up by the thoughts, "Oh well, this is how the Russians are, you know. When provoked, they jump. Therefore, in order to stay out of trouble, given what happened in Georgia, in the future let's try and avoid other actions that may be interpreted by Moscow as provocations."

During the Cold War from 1947 to the disintegration of the Soviet Union at the end of 1991 there was a term to describe this accommodating approach towards the old communist system. It was called "self-Finlandization" -- censoring one's own behavior, thus preventing possible negative repercussions from a powerful neighbor. The reference came from the behavior of post World War II governments in Finland that took special care not to anger or irritate in any way their mighty, nuclear-armed Soviet neighbor next door.

It is impossible to say how widespread this attitude is today across the current vast European Union of 27 nations and 500 million people, but it is certainly out there. And it is clear that the current generation of European leaders and opinion-makers are not sounding an alarm. Nor does the general public in the European nations appear to take the need to give the EU military "hard" power seriously either.

Part 6: The fact that shooting indiscriminately is a bad idea does not automatically exclude that shooting discriminately, along with sound engagement policies, may be productive

(Paolo Liebl von Schirach is the editor of SchirachReport.com, a regular contributor to Swiss radio and an international economic-development expert.)

(United Press International's "Outside View" commentaries are written by outside contributors who specialize in a variety of important issues. The views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of United Press International. In the interests of creating an open forum, original submissions are invited.)

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US lawmakers seek deeper US-China ties on visit
Washington (AFP) May 22, 2009
China-bound US lawmakers said Friday that their visit aimed to deepen cooperation on pulling the world economy out of its slump and to ease any worries about investments in skyrocketing US debt. Democratic Representative Rick Larsen and Republican Representative Mark Kirk, the co-chairs of the congressional US-China Working Group, arrive at their first stop, Hong Kong, on Monday. In sepa ... read more







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