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Timeline: The unravelling of the Iran nuclear deal
by AFP Staff Writers
Paris (AFP) Jan 4, 2021

The hard-won 2015 nuclear deal
Tehran (AFP) Jan 4, 2021 - Iran agreed with major world powers in 2015 to restrict its nuclear programme in return for the lifting of punishing international sanctions.

But in 2018, US President Donald Trump pulled the United States out of the agreement and reimposed sanctions, prompting Iran to roll back its own commitments.

Despite consistent denials from Tehran, the US and Israel continue to accuse Iran of seeking a nuclear weapon.

And on Monday Iran said it has started enriching uranium again to 20 percent purity.

Here is a look back at the deal:

- Tough negotiations -

Negotiations start in June 2013 between Iran and the five permanent members of the UN Security Council (Britain, China, France, Russia and the United States) plus Germany.

The final deal is reached in July 2015, seemingly ending a 12-year dispute over the Iran nuclear issue.

- The aim -

The accord's goal is to make it practically impossible for Iran to build an atomic bomb, while allowing it to pursue a civilian nuclear programme.

Tehran pledges to reduce its nuclear capacities for several years, capping its enrichment of uranium at 3.67 percent -- sufficient for power generation, but far below the more than 90 percent required for a nuclear weapon.

Iran agrees to slash the number of its enrichment centrifuges from more than 19,000 to 5,060, for a decade.

It also agrees to modify its heavy water reactor in Arak to prevent it using plutonium for military use.

The deal comes into effect in January 2016.

- Inspectors, sanctions relief -

The International Atomic Energy Agency is charged with carrying out inspections to ensure Iran is keeping to its side of the bargain.

The accord paves the way for a partial lifting of international sanctions on Tehran, opening the door to foreign investors.

However, UN embargoes on the sale of conventional arms and on ballistic missiles to Iran are maintained up to October 2020 and 2023 respectively.

The three European signatories, Britain, France and Germany, have opposed lifting the embargo on conventional arms, coming into line with Washington.

But the powers insisted they remained committed to the 2015 nuclear deal, and said UN sanctions should not be reimposed.

- US exit -

Investment starts to flow into Iran after the nuclear deal. But in May 2018, Trump pulls the US out of the agreement, calling it "rotten".

In August and November, Washington reimposes sanctions, particularly targeting Iran's oil and finance sectors.

- Iran rolls back -

Iran in May 2019 announces a first step back from the accord.

It says the European Union must help it circumvent US sanctions and sell oil or it will abandon more terms.

After exceeding the deal's uranium enrichment cap and the allowed quantity of heavy water, it says in January 2020 it will ignore the limit on its number of centrifuges.

With Trump in his final days at the White House, Tehran announces on Monday that it has started enriching uranium to 20 percent at its Fordow facility.

The EU warns that Iran's move would be a "considerable departure" from Tehran commitments under the 2015 nuclear deal.

A landmark 2015 deal on Iran's nuclear programme has been falling apart since the United States unilaterally pulled out of the agreement in May 2018.

It was dealt another blow Monday when Tehran announced that it has started enriching uranium again at its underground Fordow complex.

Here is a timeline:

- US withdrawal -

President Donald Trump withdraws the US from the deal negotiated between Iran and the five permanent members of the UN Security Council -- Britain, China, France, Russia and the United States -- plus Germany on May 8, 2018.

"We cannot prevent an Iranian nuclear bomb under the decaying and rotten structure of the current agreement," Trump says.

- US sanctions -

In August and November 2018, Washington reimposes sanctions on Iran and companies with ties to it, notably hitting Iran's vital oil sector and central bank.

Major international firms halt their activities and projects in Iran.

In May 2019, Washington ends its sanctions exemptions for countries buying Iranian crude oil.

- Iran starts walk-back -

Iran that month announces its first step back from the deal, seeking to pressure European signatories to help it get round the sanctions.

Trump then sanctions Iran's steel and mining sectors.

In July, Tehran says it has exceeded the accord's restrictions on its enriched uranium reserves and uranium enrichment level.

- More steps -

In September 2019, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) nuclear watchdog says Iran has started using advanced centrifuges to enrich uranium.

On November 4, Tehran says its enrichment increased tenfold and that it has developed two new advanced centrifuges.

Later that month, it resumes enrichment at its Fordow plant in its fourth walk-back and says its heavy water reserves have passed the accord's limit.

- More centrifuges -

Tensions between Washington and Tehran spiral after a January 2020 US drone strike kills top Iranian commander Qasem Soleimani in Baghdad, sparking a tit-for-tat confrontation.

Iran announces its fifth step back from the deal on January 5, foregoing a limit on its number of centrifuges.

- Dispute mechanism -

On February 14, Iran demands significant economic advantages from Europe in return for cancelling all, or part, of its rollback measures.

On March 31, European signatories say they have delivered medical goods to Iran, in the first transaction under the Instex mechanism set up to bypass the US sanctions.

- Over the limit -

On May 27, Washington ends sanctions waivers for nations that remain in the accord.

The following month the IAEA says Iran has accumulated enriched uranium at nearly eight times the limit of the accord and has blocked inspections at key sites.

The agency passes a resolution critical of Iran, the first of its kind since 2012.

- Setback for US -

On August 14, the UN Security Council rejects a US resolution aimed at extending the embargo on arms sales to Iran that expires in October.

On August 20, the US formally begins activating a controversial mechanism aimed at reimposing UN sanctions on Iran.

It immediately runs into opposition from European and other powers.

On September 4, the IAEA says Iran has granted its inspectors access to one of the two sites.

Iran's stockpile of enriched uranium now stands at more than ten times the limit set down in the 2015 deal, the IAEA says.

- US reimposes sanctions -

On September 20, Washington unilaterally proclaims UN sanctions against Iran are back in force, and promises to punish those who violate them.

The legal argument for the move is rejected by almost the entire UN Security Council.

The next day, the US names 27 people or entities it says will be subject to UN sanctions, including Iran's defence ministry and Atomic Energy Organisation, as well as Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro.

- New spike in tensions -

With Trump in his last days in the White House and tensions between the two countries spiralling, Tehran deals the accord a further blow Monday by saying it has started enriching uranium at Fordow.


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