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THE STANS
Training Afghan forces a daunting task

No south Afghanistan security handover for a 'few years': US
Washington (AFP) Aug 24, 2010 - The head of the US Marine Corps said Tuesday a "turnover" to Afghan forces in key southern provinces will not be possible for at least "a few years," despite a July 2011 deadline for the start of a US drawdown. General James Conway's comments were the latest sign from US military leaders that a major troop withdrawal remained a long way off, despite a mid-2011 deadline set by President Barack Obama for the start of a pullout. "I honestly think it will be a few years before conditions on the ground are such that turnover will be possible for us," General James Conway told reporters, referring to Marines deployed in the provinces of Helmand and Kandahar. Conway, who just returned from Afghanistan, said some Afghan units "somewhere" might be able to assume the lead for security in 2011 but not in the south, which he called the "birthplace" of the Taliban insurgency.

"And I think there's a mindset that needs to accompany that on the part of our Marines, that it may be a while," he said. Conway acknowledged that public support for the US mission was declining but warned of the risks of any early withdrawal. "I sense our country is increasingly growing tired of the war," he said. Conway appealed for patience, citing a fellow commander's assessment that "we can either lose fast or win slow." The last units of a surge of 30,000 reinforcements had only arrived in Afghanistan this month, he said, with the US force now at nearly 100,000.

"We have the momentum. We have the initiative, but that's different from declaring that security conditions are changed dramatically in Helmand," he said. The general said the administration needed to do a better job of explaining the mission to Americans and the importance of preventing Al-Qaeda from regaining a foothold. Asked to specify how many years US forces might have to stay in southern Afghanistan, Conway said he could not offer a forecast. However, he said the Kabul government's efforts to promote reconciliation with the insurgents could dramatically alter the conflict. An armed uprising against the Taliban, similar to Sunni tribes taking on Al-Qaeda in Iraq, was unlikely in Afghanistan, but "reconciliation could be a game-changer," he said.

Conway spoke a day after the US general in charge of training Afghan forces played down prospects for a major transfer of security duties to the Afghans for at least another year, three months after the July 2011 target date. Defense Secretary Robert Gates has suggested any troop reduction after mid-2011 would be modest, but he has also held out the possibility of Afghan troops taking over security in some districts by the end of the year. With casualties mounting, Obama's fellow Democrats in Congress are increasingly anxious over the course of the nearly nine-year-old war, and many want to see a substantial reduction in the US commitment after mid-2011. The White House said Tuesday that Obama still planned a review of the Afghan war in December. "So we're still on the path that the president laid out," John Brennan, deputy national security adviser, told reporters.
by Heather Somerville, Medill News Service
Arlington, Va. (UPI) Aug 23, 2010
The U.S. military plans to recruit 141,000 Afghan police and troops to build a force large enough to take over the nation's security. Military leaders say they'll meet that recruitment goal by October 2011 but the work of crafting a professional army out of a population with soaring illiteracy and attrition rates still lies ahead.

The NATO training mission is responsible for training Afghan National Security Forces, which include national police and national army, to take over national security from U.S. and coalition troops.

It is a daunting task that will extend next year's recruitment deadline, as NATO members try to rid Afghan forces of corruption, drug abuse, Taliban infiltrators and wage theft, said U.S. Army Lt. Gen. William Caldwell, commander of NATO training mission.

U.S. President Barack Obama set a deadline of July 2011 to start pulling U.S. troops out of the country but, under Caldwell's timeline, Afghan forces won't have enough training by then to take over any large-scale security responsibility.

Caldwell didn't provide any concrete dates for Afghan forces to take over the country's security during his Monday briefing from Afghanistan but said only that NATO leaders "are aware of the date" set by Obama and that developing a professional Afghan force will require a protracted commitment.

NATO has exceeded this year's recruitment goals three months ahead of schedule with more than 57,000 force members and projects around 70,000 by the end of the year. High attrition rates, however, could hamper recruitment efforts. Attrition, or the number of security personnel who desert or drop out, reached 47 percent last month in the Afghan National Police, a level Caldwell called "unacceptable," although still lower than its peak of 70 percent.

Some Afghan troops drop out to join insurgency groups or to take jobs with private security companies that promise better pay. In some areas of the country, 90 percent of Afghan security personnel have reported not receiving paychecks for months at a time, Caldwell said.

NATO needs another 56,000 troops to meet its goal of 305,000 personnel but Caldwell set the goal of 141,000 recruits to account for attrition.

NATO strikes that have mistakenly killed Afghan security forces in recent months may contribute to attrition rates. Since last November, NATO friendly fire has killed 32 Afghan security personnel. Three Afghan police were killed in a NATO operation Friday in the northern province Jawzjan.

NATO troops have caused far fewer casualties by friendly fire this year, in part due to a U.S. directive that limits troops' ability to use weapons in the presence of civilians. But when incidents are given enough attention by the Afghan government or media, friendly fire casualties fuel resentment against NATO troops, said Michael O'Hanlon, a national security and defense policy expert at the Brookings Institute.

"Every single time there is a tragedy, it sets things back," O'Hanlon said.

NATO trainers are also combating dismal literacy rates, which average 14 percent to 18 percent across entry-level positions and have rendered security forces corrupt and incompetent, Caldwell said. NATO set up a mandatory literacy program now attended by 27,000 new recruits and plans call for another 100,000 recruits to complete the classes by next June. The program will put recruits at a third-grade reading level.

"We're not trying to make high school graduates here," Caldwell said. "We start establishing accountability and that's critical. How do you expect a soldier to account for his weapon if they can't even read the serial number?"

Training for Afghan forces costs the United States about $10 billion annually -- a sum that happens to equal Afghanistan's gross domestic product. After the October 2011 recruiting goals are reached, U.S. funding for Afghan security forces is expected drop to about $6 billion, O'Hanlon said. Sustaining Afghan security forces will remain an international responsibility for many years to come, and the United States will provide most of the funding, O'Hanlon said.

"It's going to be a U.S. burden for a while," O'Hanlon said.



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