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WAR REPORT
Why divided Colombia said 'No' to peace deal
By Jordi MIRO, Rodrigo ALMONACID
Bogota (AFP) Oct 3, 2016


Timeline of Colombia conflict
Bogota (AFP) Oct 3, 2016 - Colombian voters on Sunday rejected a peace accord to end a 52-year conflict between the state and communist FARC rebels, in a shock blow to the country's government.

Here are key dates in Latin America's longest armed conflict, which has killed 260,000 people according to Colombian authorities.

- 1964: FARC formed -

The government launches an offensive against communist groups in the center and west of the country.

On May 27, rebel commander Manuel Marulanda Velez flees the assault with 47 other men and forms the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC).

- 1984: First peace bid -

On March 28, conservative president Belisario Betancur launches peace talks with the FARC under a bilateral truce.

Talks break down in 1987 after right-wing paramilitaries assassinate a presidential candidate from a party allied to the FARC. Further peace efforts collapse in 1991 and 2002.

- 1996: Hostages taken -

On August 30, the FARC takes 60 Colombian soldiers hostage at a military base in the south.

The raid marks the start of its strategy of mass hostage-takings, which dominates the conflict over the following years.

- 2000: 'Plan Colombia' -

In June, the United States and Colombian president Andres Pastrana launch "Plan Colombia," a joint anti-narcotics strategy.

It is later broadened to include anti-guerrilla operations. Washington has spent more than $10 billion on arming and training Colombian forces.

- 2002: Betancourt captured -

In February, the FARC kidnap Franco-Colombian politician Ingrid Betancourt, a candidate for Colombian president.

Captive for more than six years in the jungle, she becomes an international symbol of the conflict. She is rescued by the military in 2008.

- 2011: FARC leader killed -

The FARC's top commander, Alfonso Cano, is killed in a raid by the Colombian army on November 4.

Two other top leaders, Raul Reyes and Jorge Briceno, were killed in 2008 and 2010.

- 2012: New peace talks -

Cano is replaced by current leader Timoleon Jimenez, who enters contact with the government to consider peace talks.

On October 4, President Juan Manuel Santos's government launches new peace talks with the FARC, weakened by the loss of its top leaders.

- 2016: Peace deal -

On June 23, the FARC and the government sign a definitive ceasefire and disarmament agreement, a precursor to a comprehensive peace deal.

On September 26, they sign the full peace accord, which stipulates that the agreement must be ratified by voters in a referendum.

- Referendum shock -

On October 2, Colombian citizens reject the accord by a razor-thin majority of about 56,000 votes in a shock referendum result.

The result throws Colombia's future into uncertainty. The government and the FARC say they still committed to peace efforts.

Colombians say they are sick of their country's 52-year civil war. So why did a thin majority of voters reject their biggest chance yet for peace?

Forecasts ahead of Sunday's surprise referendum result misjudged how divided Colombians are over how to settle the conflict with the FARC rebels.

"I voted 'Yes' to peace by voting 'No' to the accord," said Carlos Gonzalez, a 19-year-old student.

Here are four things Colombians said 'No' to.

- No to 'impunity' -

Colombian authorities estimate the conflict has left 260,000 people dead, 45,000 missing and nearly seven million displaced.

The accord offered an amnesty for some FARC members, though not for the worst crimes such as massacres, torture and rape.

It offered reduced sentences for some FARC members who confess their crimes.

The FARC apologized to its victims, some of whom met with its members for emotional reconciliations.

But for Monica Gonzalez, 36, the accord was too soft on the FARC, which killed her grandmother in 2011.

"I agree with second chances, but not with impunity," she said as she celebrated the result in northern Bogota on Sunday night.

- No to 'communism' -

The FARC formed in 1964 to fight for control of land and a communist system of government, after state forces crushed a rural uprising.

The peace accord, negotiated in Cuba, aimed to convert the FARC into a civil political group, with temporary seats in Congress.

That was too much for many Colombians, who reject the FARC on ideological as well as moral grounds.

The leader of the 'No' camp, former president Alvaro Uribe, said the accord would drive the country towards "Castro-Chavism" -- a reference to leftist leaders in Cuba and Venezuela.

"Democracy has been saved" by Sunday's result, said Jesus Vivas, a 58-year-old pensioner, celebrating on Sunday.

"The future of my family and my children has been saved. We have said 'No' to communism."

- No to Santos -

Colombia's President Juan Manuel Santos acted triumphantly when he signed the peace accord with the FARC on September 26. But his approval rating has dipped nearly as low as 20 percent this year.

Opponents said they were in favor of peace but voiced distaste at the president and his determination to be the one to end the war.

"The drive for reconciliation continues, but according to the principles of a healthy society," said Maria Fernanda Cabal, an outspoken congresswoman.

"Not giving the country away to bandits and the vanity of Santos."

- No to voting? -

Turnout in Sunday's vote was extremely low at 37 percent.

Authorities earlier said heavy rain caused some disruption to voting as Hurricane Matthew passed over the Caribbean.

"We do not know what will happen now," said Jorge Cifuentes, 55, one of the Yes supporters who had gathered to celebrate in Bogota on Sunday night but ended up cast into gloom.

"But it is clear that the conditions granted to the FARC had a big effect, and the low turnout too."

Colombians shock government, rejecting peace deal
Bogota (AFP) Oct 3, 2016 - Colombians hit their government with a shock defeat Sunday when they voted by a razor-thin majority to reject a historic peace accord with communist FARC rebels.

Voters resentful of the blood shed by the FARC narrowly defied the government's bid to put the 52-year conflict behind them, reversing the trend of earlier opinion polls.

The result threw Colombia's future into uncertainty. The sides spent four years negotiating the deal and agreed it must be ratified in a referendum -- but said there was no Plan B.

The 'No' camp won by about 54,000 votes which translated into a lead of less than half a percentage point, electoral authorities said.

President Juan Manuel Santos admitted defeat in the vote but vowed: "I will not give in, and I will continue to seek peace to the last day of my term."

FARC chief Rodrigo Londono, alias Timoleon "Timochenko" Jimenez, vowed his side too was committed to continuing peace efforts. He said its ceasefire remained in force.

"The FARC deeply deplores that the destructive power of those who sow hatred and resentment has influenced the Colombian people's opinion," he said in a speech in Havana, Cuba, where the accord was negotiated.

"The people of Colombia who dream of peace can count on us. Peace will triumph."

- Deadly conflict -

Supporters of the accord had expected it to effectively end what is seen as the last major armed conflict in the Western hemisphere.

But Sunday evening's result was a dramatic defeat for Santos and the accord he signed with the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC).

Commentators compared the drama of the result to that of June's surprise "Brexit" vote for Britain to leave the European Union.

Colombians voted 50.21 percent to 49.78 percent against the accord, according to results published online with more than 99.9 percent of votes counted. Turnout was low at just over 37 percent.

Authorities earlier said heavy rain caused some disruption to voting as Hurricane Matthew passed over the Caribbean.

- Hatred of the FARC -

Some victims of the FARC had said publicly that they backed the accord.

But forecasts apparently miscalculated Colombians' desire to punish the FARC.

Opponents of the deal resented the concessions offered to the armed group.

They included an amnesty for some FARC members, though not for the worst crimes such as massacres, torture and rape.

"It is absurd to reward those criminals, drug traffickers and killers who have made the country a disaster for the past 50 years," said No voter Jose Gomez, a retiree of 70.

Monica Gonzalez, 36, celebrated the result in northern Bogota on Sunday night. She said the FARC killed her grandmother in 2011 and kidnapped some of her other relatives.

"I agree with second chances, but not with impunity," she said.

- 'Political crisis' -

The leader of the 'No' campaign, former president Alvaro Uribe, called for a "national pact" to work for peace. But it was unclear how peace efforts might move forward now.

"Hatred of the FARC won the vote," said Jorge Restrepo, director of conflict analysis center CERAC.

"We have been cast into a deep political crisis with very negative economic consequences."

Supporters of the 'Yes' vote who had prepared to celebrate on Sunday night at a hotel in central Bogota were left in gloom.

"No one was prepared for this. There was no Plan B," said one Yes supporter, Jorge Cifuentes, 55.

"We do not know what will happen now, but it is clear that the conditions granted to the FARC had a big effect, and the low turnout too."

- Deadly conflict -

The accord called for the 5,765 FARC rebels to disarm and convert into a political group with seats in Colombia's Congress.

The accord covered justice and compensation for victims and an end to the cocaine production that has fueled the conflict.

The FARC launched its guerrilla war on the government in 1964, after a peasant uprising that was crushed by the army.

The ideological and territorial conflict drew in several leftist rebel groups, right-wing paramilitaries and drug gangs.

Colombian authorities estimate the conflict has left 260,000 people dead, 45,000 missing and nearly seven million displaced.


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