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Why the fuss? Trump, the US, Taiwan and China -- a guide
by Staff Writers
Washington (AFP) Dec 5, 2016


China muted after Trump's Twitter barrage
Beijing (AFP) Dec 5, 2016 - China was muted Monday after Donald Trump's latest Twitter tirade, with analysts suggesting Beijing was scrambling to work out what the outburst could mean for relations with Washington.

Reaction from both government and official media was unusually subdued after the businessman-turned-president-elect lashed out on social media, accusing China of military expansionism and manipulating its currency.

"Did China ask us if it was OK to devalue their currency (making it hard for our companies to compete), heavily tax our products going into their country (the US doesn't tax them) or to build a massive military complex in the middle of the South China Sea?" Trump demanded, adding: "I don't think so!"

China had "no comment" on the tweets' motivation, foreign ministry spokesman Lu Kang told reporters Monday.

"We do not comment on his personality. We focus on his policies, especially his policies towards China," he said, adding that economic relations between the countries had been "mutually beneficial".

Although Trump's comments were uncharacteristically sharp for a US leader, the initial response from state media -- often a proxy for government pronouncements -- was restrained.

By late afternoon, the comments still had not been reported by the official Xinhua news service.

But the agency did issue a comment piece warning against focusing on Trump's "sensational claims".

It was "hasty to draw a pessimistic conclusion" about his intentions, the piece said, but urged the president-elect to resist "light-headed calls for provocative and damaging moves on China".

Even the Global Times -- famed for its thin-skinned nationalism -- merely noted that the "bombardment" was the first time Trump had "expressed a clear view" on the South China Sea -- a strategically vital area contested by China and its neighbours, including Vietnam and the Philippines.

Chinese leaders, who have long counted on stable, predictable relationships with US leaders, are "probably scrambling to figure out how to respond" to Trump, said Bonnie Glaser, senior adviser at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington.

China's president Xi Jinping will want to "avoid being seen as weak," especially as he faces a major Communist Party congress next year, she said.

Jin Canrong, professor of international studies at Renmin University, said Beijing was "very much on guard against the future administration, but won't have any formal reaction" while Obama was still in office, especially since Trump has not yet formed his cabinet or chosen a secretary of state.

He predicted Trump would moderate once he takes office, but added the president-elect "is a trendy and impulsive man who does Twitter very well, which helped him during the campaign."

"But when transferred to the international arena," he said, "it will cause lots of trouble."

Diplomats, world leaders and China watchers were stunned when President-elect Donald Trump spoke by phone with Taiwanese leader Tsai Ing-wen, breaking with decades of tradition.

Why was the single phone call the source of such concern? Here are the key issues surrounding the delicate relations between the United States, China and Taiwan.

- Bitter history -

The deep rift between China and Taiwan dates back to China's civil war, which erupted in 1927 and pitted forces aligned with the Communist Party of China against the Nationalist Kuomintang (KMT) army.

Eventually defeated by Mao Zedong's Communists, KMT chief Chiang Kai-shek fled to Taiwan, which was still under KMT control.

From there, Chiang continued to claim the entirety of China -- just as the mainland claimed Taiwan.

Taiwan's full name remains the Republic of China, while the mainland is the People's Republic of China.

Both sides still formally claim to represent all of China.

- Why the fuss? -

Washington cut formal diplomatic relations with Taiwan in 1979, switching recognition to Beijing as the sole representative of China, and no US president or president-elect is believed to have spoken to a Taiwanese leader since then.

But the United States has maintained an ambiguous and at times contradictory approach to Taiwan.

On the one hand, America sells high-end weaponry to Taiwan, but it does not formally recognize Tsai, the country's president, as a sovereign leader.

The policy is designed to provide democratic Taiwan with enough military clout to fend off China's vastly bigger armed forces and preserve peace in the region.

Many observers saw the phone call, initiated by Tsai, as a possible shift in long-standing US policy.

China regards self-ruling Taiwan as part of its own territory awaiting reunification under Beijing's rule, and any US move implying support for independence -- even calling Tsai "president," as Trump did in a tweet announcing the call -- prompts grave offense in China.

It is also possible that Trump, a political novice and a newcomer to the international stage, didn't appreciate the ramifications of the call.

But The Washington Post, citing people involved in planning the call, said it was a deliberate move by the president-elect to strike a new tone, and was months in the making.

- 'One China' policy -

In 1992, Taiwan and mainland China both agreed that there is only "one China," covering both places, but they agreed to disagree about what that precisely meant.

The policy means that, essentially, countries must choose which territory represents "one China."

Most countries have chosen Beijing, while also maintaining some ties, if nominally unofficial, to Taipei.

Washington does not formally recognize Taipei, and officially sticks to a the one-China policy that says Beijing is the legitimate government of all of China.

But in practice, the small island enjoys many of the trappings of a full diplomatic relationship with the United States.

While there is no US embassy in Taipei, Washington runs a nonprofit center called the American Institute in Taiwan, which serves as something of an unofficial consulate.

Many people in Taiwan today remain distrustful of Beijing while others are keen to explore warmer relations, especially when it comes to trade opportunities.


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Some US conservatives praise Trump over Taiwan phone call
Washington (AFP) Dec 3, 2016
Amid an outpouring of condemnation over President-elect Donald Trump's telephone conversation with President Tsai Ing-wen of Taiwan, some prominent US conservatives are commending his decision to take her call. Trump's conversation with Tsai on Friday broke decades of US diplomatic policy, risking a serious rift with China by calling into question one of Beijing's self-described "core intere ... read more


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